ilmscore | Prediction Details
"we've only had a grand total of five total years where this blue line has ever dipped. The Great Depression, which is between 1930 to 1934 and the 2008 financial crisis. That's it. That's the only time our economy has delevered."
By Andrei Jikh | June 5, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
BREAKING: The Bond Market Is Collapsing (JPMorgan’s Final Warning) 00:16:59 - 00:17:14
Interpreted Prediction
The US economy has only experienced deleveraging during the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis, indicating a strong historical trend of increasing debt.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the US economy has only experienced deleveraging during the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis. However, the FRED database shows that there were some years with negative growth in US Debt between 1952 and 2024 [cite: i]. Therefore, the statement is somewhat inaccurate.

Prediction Details

Topic
Debt Cycle

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