ilmscore | Prediction Details
"And what that has done is it has created the illusion that poverty has barely grown. But Michael Green says if we apply the same original method and the same logic except we use the share of income Americans spend on essentials today, we would not get a poverty line of $31,000. Instead, it would be closer to $140,000."
By Andrei Jikh | December 15, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Why $140,000 Is The New 'Poor' 00:01:55 - 00:02:17
Interpreted Prediction
Applying the original poverty line methodology but with today's spending ratios for essentials would result in a poverty line closer to $140,000, not the official $31,000.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that applying the original poverty line methodology with today's spending ratios would result in a poverty line closer to $140,000. Based on data from 2024 and 2025, the poverty line for a family of four is still approximately $30,000. This indicates that the prediction is very inaccurate.

Prediction Details

Topic
Poverty Line Calculation

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