ilmscore | Prediction Details
"And once you add up conservative national average numbers for those categories, the way that Michael Green does this, you do not get $75,000. you end up needing a net income of around $118,000 just to cover the basics for a family of four. After you add in roughly $18.5,000 in federal, state, and FICA taxes, that brings you to a required gross income of around $1365,000 a year. That is the modern-day version of Molly Orchansky's too little threshold, the minimum needed to keep a family of four afloat in 2024."
By Andrei Jikh | December 15, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Why $140,000 Is The New 'Poor' 00:13:01 - 00:13:45
Interpreted Prediction
The modern-day poverty line for a family of four, accounting for essential costs like housing, childcare, transportation, and food, plus taxes, is estimated to be around $136,500 gross income in 2024.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the modern-day poverty line for a family of four would be around $136,500 gross income in 2024. The official poverty line in 2024 for a family of four was $31,200. This makes the prediction very inaccurate.

Prediction Details

Topic
Poverty Line Calculation

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