Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the Jolts numbers, expected this week, are too stale to significantly influence the Fed's policy calculations.
AI Evaluation Notes
The JOLTS report for October 2025 was released on December 9, 2025, coinciding with the start of the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting (December 9-10, 2025). The Fed subsequently cut interest rates, citing 'softening labor data' and 'downside risks to employment', indicating the JOLTS numbers were timely and influenced their policy calculations, contrary to the prediction.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
Jolts numbers will not significantly impact Fed calculus
Predicted
date
This week