ilmscore | Prediction Details
"But we're not in for something like a huge crash like a 20% drop or something like that unless Powell comes out and says something like, 'Not only are we not cutting rates, we're actually going to increase rates.'"
By Investing Simplified - Professor G | December 6, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
📈 Major Banks FLIP Stock Market Predictions! (Positive Growth Outlook for 2026) 00:08:07 - 00:08:18
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted a huge crash (over 20% drop) if the Fed increases rates instead of cutting them.
AI Evaluation Notes
The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on December 9-10, 2025, resulted in a 25 basis point rate cut, not an increase, meaning the condition for the predicted crash was not met. Following this decision, the S&P 500 rose by 0.7%, which is the opposite of a huge crash.

Prediction Details

Topic
Stock Market (Conditional)
Target
Huge crash (20%+ drop) (if Fed increases rates)
Predicted date
Soon after Fed meeting next week
Price at the predicted date
0.7 USD

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