Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that if the market trend is currently or becomes downward, it will remain in a downtrend.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that if the market trend became downward, it would remain in a downtrend. After the prediction date of September 2, 2024, major market indices, such as the S&P 500, showed significant positive performance throughout 2025. The S&P 500 had a 1-year return of 13.43% as of December 11, 2025, and a YTD performance of 16.45% as of November 2025. This indicates that the market did not remain in a downtrend, making the prediction very inaccurate.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
Market trend will remain down
Predicted
date
Ongoing, conditional on being down