AI Evaluation Notes

Small-cap stocks, as measured by the Russell 2000 Index, have demonstrated positive performance since the prediction date of February 29, 2024. The Russell 2000 recorded an annual return of 18.63% in 2024, and the outlook for small caps in 2025 is also generally positive. This indicates that a strategy of broadly shorting small caps would have largely been unprofitable, contradicting the prediction of it being profitable 80% of the time.