Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that trading strategies effective in 2020-2022, such as buying pullbacks, will no longer be effective in the new market regime, and more shorting will be necessary.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that trading strategies effective in 2020-2022, such as buying pullbacks, would 'no longer be effective' in the new market regime (post-2022), and that 'more shorting will be necessary.' However, market analysis and commentary for 2024 and 2025 indicate that buying pullbacks remained a strategy employed by investors, with some sources explicitly noting that 'Investors continued to buy during market pullbacks in 2025'. While shorting strategies were also discussed and evolved in 2025, there is no strong evidence to suggest it became a universally 'necessary' strategy to the exclusion of other methods like buying pullbacks.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
Strategies from 2020-2022 (e.g., buying pullbacks) will not work; more shorting will be necessary.
Predicted
date
New market regime (post-2022)