Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that markets are likely to drop if inflation (core CPI or overall CPI, expected at 3%) comes in higher than expected this week.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated markets would likely drop if inflation came in higher than expected. However, the November 2025 CPI, released on December 18, 2025, came in lower than expected at 2.7% year-over-year (compared to an expected 3% or 3.1%). Following this cooler inflation data, major market indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher on December 18, 2025, and also for the week, which is the opposite of the predicted outcome.
Prediction Details
Target
Markets are likely to drop
Predicted
date
This week (around December 18, 2025)