ilmscore | Prediction Details
By TJR | August 20, 2025 | Incorrect
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the market would be super volatile during the week of August 18, 2025, due to FOMC and Jackson Hole.
AI Evaluation Notes
The week of August 18, 2025, did indeed feature significant events like the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (August 21-23, 2025) and the release of FOMC minutes (August 20, 2025), which were cited as reasons for expected volatility. However, market performance during this week does not align with a 'super volatile' outcome. Reports indicate that stocks closed with little change on August 18, 2025, and major indexes hovered near record highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.74% and global stock market performance remained strong. While some specific areas like long-end rates were noted to potentially stay volatile, the overall market was not characterized as 'super volatile' for the entire week.

Prediction Details

Target
Market will be super volatile
Predicted date
This week (week of 2025-08-18)

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