ilmscore | Prediction Details
"And it's like being pregnant for 4 years, you know, please let it happen. Senator John Kennedy echoed this sentiment, saying that lawmakers shouldn't be rushing to advance a crypto market structure bill. In his words, quote, "I don't think we're ready. People that I talked to still have a lot of questions. I know I still have a lot of questions." Meanwhile, Senator Kristen Gillibrand is reluctant to put a deadline on the bill due to the looming government shutdowns that will inevitably cause delays. She says that quote, "The most important issue that Congress has to deal with right now is the fiscal cliff and added that it will be a time-consuming process." Translation: Crypto isn't really the priority right now. To add to this uncertainty, a planned markup hearing for a draft bill by the Senate Banking Committee was pushed back from September 30th to late October. Meanwhile, the Senate Agriculture Committee has yet to publish any draft legislation. And this is significant because both committees need to be able to support any bill addressing market structure before it can move to the Senate or the House of Representatives. All of this is precisely why analysts are less confident. According to Poly Market, the chances of the Clarity Act being signed into law by the end of 2025 is just 31%. Down from a high of 87% in mid July. So then a lot of mixed opinions. From our perspective, this could go one of two ways. If everything proceeds smoothly even after the short government shutdown, we can realistically expect the Clarity Act to be signed into law by the end of the year. However, if politicians continue to butt heads about the bill or anything else for that matter, then a likely scenario would be that the bill will instead pass in early 2026. If we had to guess, we'd say that this was the more likely outcome."
By Coin Bureau | October 3, 2025 | Correct
From video
CLARITY Act: What It Means for Ethereum, Solana & Altcoins 00:08:33 - 00:10:20
Interpreted Prediction
The Clarity Act is predicted to be signed into law by the end of 2025 or, more likely, in early 2026, depending on political agreements and legislative progress.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the Clarity Act would be signed into law by the end of 2025 or in early 2026. As of January 10, 2026, the Clarity Act has been signed into law.

Prediction Details

Topic
Clarity Act Passage

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