ilmscore | Prediction Details
"For nearly two years, the current advance tracked the 2015 to 2018 path almost tick for tick before breaking away as some long-term holders derisked. That divergence doesn't spell doom, but it tells you we're off the typical template, and we should probably focus more on first principles analysis."
By Coin Bureau | November 8, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
What's Next For Crypto In Q4? Report Reveals All! 00:15:22 - 00:15:35
Interpreted Prediction
Bitcoin's current price advance has diverged from its historical path seen between 2015-2018, suggesting a new market regime where first principles analysis (liquidity, positioning, profit leakage) is more relevant than strict historical tracking.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that Bitcoin's price action had diverged from its historical path, suggesting a new market regime, but the current price is $41757.33 which is significantly different from the initial price of $102306.53, which suggests that the prediction of a new market regime was inaccurate [cite: i].

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
102,306.53 USD

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