ilmscore | Prediction Details
"If you look at the ETFs, we've seen about 4% of the Bitcoin that's gone in come back out again. And this is during a 35% market draw down. So in fact, the ETFs are pretty much at their cost basis at 82K. And we're seeing 3 to 4% of the outflows. It's kind of pretty important that we're just not seeing that like, ah, I'm giving up. I don't want to hold this Bitcoin thing anymore and it sucks. We're actually not seeing that type of dynamic. Not yet. Not that I can't change, but at this point in time, we're not seeing that."
By Coin Bureau | November 27, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Bear Market or Reset? James Check Explains Bitcoin’s Brutal 80K Washout 00:18:55 - 00:19:19
Interpreted Prediction
Despite a 35% market drawdown, ETF outflows are only 3-4%, and ETFs are near their cost basis of $82k, indicating a lack of giving up by these buyers.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that ETF outflows were only 3-4% during a 35% market drawdown, with ETFs near their cost basis of $82k. Bitcoin's price is $46784.4 as of January 10, 2026, indicating a significant drawdown exceeding the predicted 35%.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
91,318.34 USD

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