ilmscore | Prediction Details
"The four-year cycle is the common view is people think okay if you have a four-year cycle that means 2026 will be a down year for Bitcoin but um therefore people will sell in 2025 thinking I want to I want to realize my gains before the down year but then that creates this this effect creates a first order effect where people selling leads to 2025 being the down market here which therefore means that in 2020 and the price collapses as well and then that means that in the third order effect of that is that 2026 basically is kind of a reset. It's open season and if you have all these demand factors we talked about in terms of institutional macro coming to the market in 2026 you could potentially have a rally in the price of Bitcoin and the four-year cycle is completely broken because of this self-fulfilling prophecy."
By Coin Bureau | November 17, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Bear Market Indicators Explained 00:27:34 - 00:28:17
Interpreted Prediction
A theory suggests that the traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle may be broken due to a self-fulfilling prophecy where selling in 2025 (anticipating a down year in 2026) leads to a 2025 downturn, potentially opening up 2026 for a rally with increased institutional and macro demand.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that 2026 could potentially have a rally in the price of Bitcoin because the four-year cycle is broken, but the current price of Bitcoin as of January 10, 2026 is $39449.11 which is significantly lower than the initial price of $92162.06802244 when predicted.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
92,162.07 USD

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