ilmscore | Prediction Details
"The fact that we've had three four years three four year crypto cycles in a row is kind of not enough to make a data set. Yes, it's a nice pattern and yes it's it's played out up to now but you I don't think three times is enough that you can call it a rule. Yeah, you can't. Uh indeed. And then also there's other forces at play. US fiscal policy, stock market strength, global equity that's now driving Bitcoin's price more than just h havinging math. Yeah, I mean I I think it's probably fair to say that the hing just is is no longer relevant in any way."
By Coin Bureau | November 3, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Bitcoin OGs Are Finally Selling 00:17:26 - 00:18:01
Interpreted Prediction
The historical four-year Bitcoin cycle is no longer a reliable predictor of price movements due to other influencing factors like US fiscal policy and global equity markets.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the four-year Bitcoin cycle is no longer a reliable predictor. As of today, Bitcoin's price is $42798.7, a significant decrease from the initial price of $106582.53055500, which contradicts the prediction of other forces driving the price more than the halving cycle.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
106,582.53 USD

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