ilmscore | Prediction Details
"The fact that we've had three four years three four year crypto cycles in a row is kind of not enough to make a data set. Yes, it's a nice pattern and yes it's it's played out up to now but you I don't think three times is enough that you can call it a rule. Yeah, you can't. Uh indeed. And then also there's other forces at play. US fiscal policy, stock market strength, global equity that's now driving Bitcoin's price more than just h havinging math. Yeah, I mean I I think it's probably fair to say that the hing just is is no longer relevant in any way."
By Coin Bureau | November 3, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Bitcoin OGs Are Finally Selling 00:17:26 - 00:18:01
Interpreted Prediction
The historical four-year cycle for Bitcoin is becoming less relevant as a predictor of price, with macro-economic factors and global equity markets having a greater influence.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated the four-year cycle would be less relevant with macro-economic factors having greater influence. Bitcoin's price is $42793.4 on 2026-01-12, a decrease of about 60% since the prediction was made, suggesting macroeconomic factors may have had a significant impact, but the price decreased significantly rather than increasing.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
106,582.53 USD

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