Interpreted Prediction
The odds for Maria Corina Macardo winning the Nobel Peace Prize drastically increased on Poly Market in the evening before the announcement, rising from 3.6% to 39% within 30 minutes.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction was that Maria Corina Macardo's odds of winning the Nobel Peace Prize increased drastically. However, the Nobel Peace Prize for 2025 was awarded to the Director General of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).