ilmscore | Bond Market Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 13
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 9
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted that the bond market is forming a short-term topping pattern and will likely decline further before finding a bottom.
"It looks like there's a pretty decent shot of a topping pattern in play there in the short term, whi..."
Dec 7, 2025
Correct
Predicted that if the Fed signals more rate cuts, bond prices will become weaker due to expectations of stronger growth and more inflation.
"if they signal more cuts to come, given how the market's trading right now, it makes me think that w..."
Dec 5, 2025
Incorrect
Bond prices are predicted to have a significant rebound over the next 1-2 years (from Sept 2025) if the Fed consistently cuts interest rates.
"Now, if the Fed cuts interest rates consistently for the next one or two years, bond prices should h..."
Sep 15, 2025
Pending
Jamie Dimon predicts a crack in the bond market.
"You are going to see a crack in the bond market. Okay? It is going to happen."
Sep 6, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve needs to reserve funds for a potential bond crisis in 2026.
"they have to leave some firepower for the upcoming bond crisis in 2026."
Sep 5, 2025
Pending
Bond market will not gain enough clarity to move significantly in the 6 months following August 2025 (i.e., by February 2026) (Dave Meyer).
"And I just don't think we're going to get that clarity in the next 6 months."
Aug 20, 2025
Pending
The bond market is predicted to have a negative reaction to the Federal Reserve's rate cut in September 2025.
"while it's likely they're going to cut rates in September, it's also likely that the markets uh that..."
Aug 18, 2025
Pending
The bond market is predicted not to move significantly in either direction in the near future.
"I don't think the bond market's going to move [a lot in either direction]."
Aug 18, 2025
Pending
A significant downturn or 'crack' in the bond market is predicted to occur.
"You are going to see a crack in the bond market. Okay? It is going to happen."
Jun 5, 2025
Incorrect
Jamie Dimon predicts a coming crack in the bond market, leading to widespread panic.
"In a candid statement, he warned that a crack in the bond market is coming, and when it does, many w..."
Jun 3, 2025
Pending
The long end of the bond market, where banks and pension funds are heavily invested, is where the market will 'break'.
"it's going to be the bond the long the long entail of the bond which banks and Pension funds are hea..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Interest rates are expected to be lower by September 2024, making it a good time to consider investing in bonds or high-yielding assets.
"by September in a month from now they're going to be switching you know uh the rates will be lower s..."
Aug 12, 2024
Pending
This week's CPI data is expected to align with current market expectations (a 'pathy data'), potentially causing some volatility in bonds if there's a 'hot print,' but overall, the bond market is anticipated to be the most active area for traders.
"if it plays kind of like the non- farms in the last CPI it should be very pathy data meaning we just..."
Jul 8, 2024
Pending