ilmscore | Commercial Real Estate Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 43
Correct: 3
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 40
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Commercial real estate prices have further downside potential, but also more upside potential for rebound.
"commercial just has more to fall. There's more upside here, too, because it could rebound."
Jan 5, 2026
Pending
A grab-and-go food place and a blow-dry studio/hair salon are predicted to open in the shopping center.
"So, right here we have a like grabandgo food place going in right here. The other side blow dry stud..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
Banks are highly apprehensive about lending for commercial office buildings, making it difficult to secure loans, even at 50% loan-to-value (LTV), due to the impact of remote work.
"I mean, listen, I'm sorry to say, but I don't know where you're at, but everywhere I'm aware of, off..."
Sep 23, 2025
Pending
Commercial real estate is predicted to continue its downtrend and experience further decline over time.
"commercial properties, I think are already getting crushed, but I think they're going to continue to..."
Sep 19, 2025
Pending
The author expresses concern that the long-term trajectory of mortgage rates will negatively impact commercial real estate.
"I am starting to get worried about the long-term trajectory of mortgage rates and its impact, partic..."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
Commercial real estate values might fall an additional 5-10%.
"They might fall another five or 10%. I think that's entirely possible."
Jul 21, 2025
Pending
A substantial $957 billion in commercial real estate debt is maturing this year, and refinancing at current interest rates will be challenging for borrowers.
"a massive $957 billion wall of debt scheduled to mature this year refinancing these loans at today's..."
Jun 29, 2025
Pending
Office buildings are predicted to be in worse condition throughout 2025 and 2026.
"They think that office buildings are going to be even in worse shape in 2025 and 26."
May 22, 2025
Pending
A crash is predicted across all commercial real estate sectors, including those currently performing well, as their loans mature at higher interest rates.
"Another reason why we're going to see a crash in all sectors of real estate even the good performing..."
Mar 30, 2025
Pending
Multifamily rents and apartment complex valuations will decline in Austin, Phoenix, Charlotte, and Raleigh due to increased housing supply, creating potential buying opportunities.
"you're going to see rents go down in Austin you're going to see valuations for apartment complexes g..."
Mar 14, 2025
Pending
2025 will present a once-in-a-generation buying opportunity for sophisticated buyers to acquire commercial real estate at the bottom of the market.
"a sophisticated buyer may have major opportunities to buy at the bottom in what could be a once in a..."
Mar 14, 2025
Pending
Ben Mala is worried about Home Depot's lease renewal on his $15 million property, fearing he might be left with a vacant building and significant financial burden if they don't renew or negotiate a less favorable deal. He hopes the investment will remain good.
"I couldn't sleep last night thinking about is Home Depot gonna renew their lease with me that's what..."
Mar 13, 2025
Pending
The commercial office space market is close to reaching its bottom, indicated by current transaction activity.
"hopefully the fact that we are at least seeing some transaction could signal that we are close to a ..."
Feb 10, 2025
Pending
A unique and exciting buying opportunity for multifamily and commercial real estate is expected in the coming years.
"personally I think we might see a really unique and pretty exciting buying opportunity in the coming..."
Jan 22, 2025
Pending
Commercial real estate recovery in 2025 will be slow, similar to 2024.
"I wouldn't be surprised if the next year looks like the last year"
Dec 20, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate prices have reached their bottom and are not expected to decline further.
"it feels like interest rates the biggest driver of real estate and we've already hit the bottom we'v..."
Dec 20, 2024
Pending
Clay predicted he would buy a commercial building on Thursday, November 14, 2024.
"I'm buying a commercial building on Thursday"
Nov 11, 2024
Pending
The author predicts that if properties like Home Depot/Lowe's, currently at a 5.5 cap rate, are not sold soon, their owners will likely start losing money due to high interest rates.
"if you do it right now sell your M for five and a half cap but you better hurry up okay because uh p..."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
The author predicts that many commercial real estate loans currently being sold are facing upcoming maturity dates, and borrowers will be unable to refinance them due to doubled interest rates, leading to defaults.
"I'm seeing hundreds of millions of dollars worth of loans being sold right now why because they're g..."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate loans facing maturity will lead to widespread refinancing failures due to significantly higher interest rates, resulting in negative cash flow and diminished property values.
"I'm seeing hundreds of millions of dollars worth of loans being sold right now why because they're g..."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
The current market window to sell triple-net lease properties (like Home Depot/Lowe's) at a 5.5% cap rate is closing rapidly, as high interest rates will soon make such sales unprofitable.
"interest rates are high now so they really aren't selling if you do it right now sell your M for fiv..."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
Many corporations took out loans at low interest rates in 2020-2021, and these debts are now due for readjustment in 2024 and 2025, potentially increasing costs.
"every corporation borrowed as much money as as many dollars as possible at the lowest interest rates..."
Aug 1, 2024
Pending
Commercial property vacancies are predicted to take up to a year and a half to fill.
"now You've got four vacancies that might take a year and a half before you find another tenant to pu..."
Jul 23, 2024
Pending
Commercial real estate deals will be settled by private equity before widespread foreclosures occur.
"I don't it doesn't look like it's going to get that far it looks like deals are going to be done bef..."
Jul 19, 2024
Pending
Distress is expected in commercial real estate, creating future opportunities, but it's currently too early in the cycle to mitigate risk as prices continue to fall.
"there are going to be opportunities in commercial real estate though there's distress coming which m..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
A bank tenant in a building currently for sale is predicted to remain in place until 2104.
"a building that's for sale that has half of it as a bank that is not going anywhere anytime soon I t..."
Jun 5, 2024
Pending
The retail sector is experiencing severe difficulties due to the growth of e-commerce.
"retail sector you had a real nightmare because so many people started shopping online over the last ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Office building values have declined sharply as a result of increased remote work.
"Office Buildings got clobbered because so many people are working from home"
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Banks are expected to suffer significant losses on commercial loans due to the severe decline in commercial real estate.
"the banks are going to lose a fortune on those commercial loans because commercial commercial real e..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Office building values have been significantly impacted due to the widespread adoption of remote work.
"Office Buildings got clobbered because so many people are working from home"
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The retail sector is facing severe challenges due to the rise of e-commerce.
"retail sector you had a real nightmare because so many people started shopping online over the last ..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Banks are projected to incur substantial losses from commercial loans due to the severe downturn in the commercial real estate market.
"the banks are going to lose a fortune on those commercial loans because commercial commercial real e..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
When the commercial real estate market eventually rebounds, it is predicted to do so quickly.
"when commercial real estate market does Rebound it's going to rebound fast"
Apr 8, 2024
Pending
A combination of rising interest rates and a recession will lead to real estate problems, with certain banks being more heavily impacted than others.
"if rates go up and we have a recession there will be real estate problems and some banks will have a..."
Mar 4, 2024
Pending
The commercial real estate market, particularly office spaces, will face significant loan readjustments in 2024 and 2025. Landlords with high vacancy rates and rising interest rates will experience financial difficulties.
"2024 is the first year of this kind of tidal wave of loans readjusting in the office Market we'll se..."
Mar 4, 2024
Pending
The majority of office loans are predicted to face substantial cash flow and refinancing problems in the coming years.
"A recent paper on Commercial Real Estate and US Banks found that 44% of office loans are likely alre..."
Mar 2, 2024
Pending
Trillions in commercial real estate debt will face refinancing issues by the end of 2024 if interest rates do not decrease rapidly.
"trillions have to be refinanced at the end of this year and they won't be able to afford the refinan..."
Mar 2, 2024
Correct
The commercial real estate business in New York is predicted to become even messier and more complicated.
"the commercial real estate business is about to get even Messier and more complicated"
Feb 18, 2024
Correct
The commercial real estate business in New York is predicted to undergo a shakeup.
"one thing is clear the commercial real estate business in New York is set for a shakeup"
Feb 18, 2024
Correct
Morgan Stanley predicts a 40% decline in the commercial real estate market.
"Morgan Stanley estimating that the entire Market could decline 40%"
Feb 7, 2024
Pending
Banks are expected to scale back lending and make it harder to get loans in the short term due to the commercial real estate market.
"short term we'll probably continue to see Banks scaling back and making it more difficult to get a l..."
Feb 7, 2024
Pending
Commercial property prices are predicted to experience more pain in 2024.
"commercial property prices are likely going to feel a little bit more pain this year"
Jan 22, 2024
Pending
Publix is scheduled to occupy the commercial space within 45 days.
"Publix is getting 45 days"
Jan 1, 2024
Pending