ilmscore | Federal Reserve / Monetary Policy Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
In the next market cycle, Jerome Powell will be replaced as Federal Reserve Chair by a more dovish individual who will pursue lower interest rates and more accommodative monetary policy.
"next cycle, Jerome Powell is going to be replaced as chair of the Federal Reserve. Like you're going..."
Dec 22, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to completely end Quantitative Tightening (QT) in the second quarter of 2025, potentially announced at the May or June Fed meeting.
"JP Morgan analysts say the Fed might completely end QT as early as Q2 2025... Q2, we're in the windo..."
Apr 1, 2025
Pending
The rolling off of mortgage-backed securities from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is not expected to stop anytime soon due to the large outstanding amount.
"I believe there's about 2.2 trillion in mortgage back Securities so don't expect that to stop anytim..."
Mar 21, 2025
Pending
The Fed's monthly cap for rolling off Treasury securities (currently $5B) might eventually increase to offset declining mortgage-backed securities, but the overall policy will likely remain quantitative tightening.
"what's more likely to happen is this other one at five billion now rolling off that one eventually m..."
Mar 21, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is likely to level off but will continue to decrease, maintaining a state of quantitative tightening.
"this is likely going to level off even more still go down still technically be quantitative tighteni..."
Mar 21, 2025
Pending
Monetary policy is predicted to slowly begin shifting throughout 2025.
"monetary policy will slowly start to shift as we go through this year"
Mar 21, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to announce interest rate cuts tomorrow (September 18, 2024).
"I'm expecting we get rate Cuts tomorrow"
Sep 17, 2024
Pending
Proposed changes to the Federal Reserve are predicted to give the President considerably more power over monetary policy.
"this would give considerably more power to the monetary policy to the office"
Jul 22, 2024
Pending
A Federal Reserve operating without a full employment mandate is predicted to potentially avoid cutting interest rates even with rising unemployment if inflation remains above its target.
"Now a Fed without that full employment mandate might not cut interest rates when unemployment increa..."
Jul 22, 2024
Pending
In Q2 or Q3 of 2025, there will be widespread discussion that the Federal Reserve is not cutting interest rates fast enough.
"it's going to become a subject for sure in 2025 I just I'm trying to time it out with trying to figu..."
Jul 11, 2024
Pending