ilmscore | Global Trade Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 12
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 11
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Global trade will continue to be settled in US dollars in the near future.
"I do not think that global trade is not going to be settled in dollars anytime soon."
Feb 15, 2026
Pending
Tariff deals between the US and the EU/China are expected, leading to a rollback of most tariffs.
"Italy's Maloney says a tariff deal is coming. ...Trump's claiming US China deals on the table, too. ..."
Apr 18, 2025
Pending
Most countries' 10% tariffs will likely be negotiated down to 0% for total free trade.
"Most countries will only get 10% tariff and those deals will probably be negotiated down to 0% in to..."
Apr 13, 2025
Pending
There is a question about the viability of bringing manufacturing jobs back to Western nations, given the increasing automation driven by AI and robotics, suggesting that the sector might be in decline regardless.
"the idea of of bringing manufacturing jobs back to the US or back to any of these kind of western na..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The ongoing trade situation is expected to involve both negotiations and pushback from various countries, exemplified by China's reaction.
"there's going to be negotiation. There's going to be or or there's going to be push back like we're ..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The resource-intensive process of checking every imported product under new tariffs could lead to a complete halt in trade.
"checking every product that enters a country will be incredibly resource-intensive and could bring t..."
Apr 4, 2025
Pending
Protectionism and taxation will fundamentally change global business operations going forward.
"Now we are starting to see protectionism and taxation becoming the big driver as we go ahead and tha..."
Apr 2, 2025
Pending
The author predicts the start of 'trade wars' in the near future.
"we got round one of trade Wars"
Jan 18, 2025
Pending
If China's growth declines and businesses move away, Taiwan, South Korea, and Thailand are predicted to suffer.
"Taiwan South Korea Thailand these are some of the countries that may actually uh suffer because peop..."
Aug 16, 2024
Pending
The US's protectionist stance is predicted to encourage a worldwide wave of protectionist measures, leading to trade wars, fragmented markets, and a decline in global economic growth.
"encouraging other countries to follow suit this could trigger a wave of protectionist measures world..."
May 19, 2024
Correct
Latin American and African countries are unlikely to sustainably absorb global excess manufacturing in the long term without a substantial increase in foreign investment to enable them to run persistent trade deficits.
"It has been argued that Latin American and African countries could end up absorbing some of the glob..."
Feb 17, 2024
Pending
A global trade rebalancing is projected to yield long-term benefits for all countries involved.
"A rebalancing of global trade could be expected to benefit all participants in the long run"
Feb 17, 2024
Pending