ilmscore | Global Trade Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 9
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Smoot-Hawley tariffs of the 1930s are widely believed by economists to have worsened and prolonged the Great Depression, even though it had begun before their enactment.
"Smoot holy was these tariffs that were implemented back the the tariff act back in the 1930s. Yeah. ..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump's perspective is that the Great Depression occurred due to insufficient tariff levels.
"Trump's um Trump's assertion is that the Great Depression only happened because tariffs weren't high..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The general consensus among economists is that the current tariff policies are detrimental to the economy and are considered a poor strategy.
"The consensus is this is going to trash the economy and is really not a very good idea."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The EU is evaluating its response to the tariffs, while the UK and other nations are seeking ways to mitigate their impact or find exemptions.
"The EU is considering options um but the UK and others have seek offramps."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The ongoing trade situation is expected to involve both negotiations and pushback from various countries, exemplified by China's reaction.
"there's going to be negotiation. There's going to be or or there's going to be push back like we're ..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
There is a question about the viability of bringing manufacturing jobs back to Western nations, given the increasing automation driven by AI and robotics, suggesting that the sector might be in decline regardless.
"the idea of of bringing manufacturing jobs back to the US or back to any of these kind of western na..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The tariffs imposed by the current administration are in some cases more than ten times higher than the weighted tariffs of the World Trade Organization.
"This is the actual world world trade Organization weighted tariffs and as you can see the imposed ta..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Tariffs could lead to retaliatory measures from other countries, potentially escalating into a global trade war.
"there's also the chance for number two retaliation from other countries like just imagine you've bee..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
The US dollar's status as a reserve currency has fallen to its lowest point in 14 years.
"the dollar as a reserve currency has reached a 14-year low"
Jun 10, 2024
Pending