ilmscore | US Economy / Federal Reserve Policy Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 4
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 4
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Tariffs will be passed down to consumers, eventually reflecting as higher inflation in CPI data and increased unemployment. This will force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, leading to a market downturn.
"These tariffs are going to get passed down to the consumer... I believe that he knows that these tar..."
May 9, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts the Federal Reserve will not intervene with a 'Fed put' if the stock market plummets.
"Some people believe the Fed will intervene if the stock market plummets, the so-called Fed put. Are ..."
Apr 16, 2025
Pending
If the US unemployment rate, currently at 4.1%, continues to cool (e.g., rise significantly) and big tech companies announce further layoffs in 2025, the Federal Reserve will likely cease cutting interest rates.
"we currently sit at 4.1 and if this continues to cool with all this talk about big Tech reducing the..."
Nov 3, 2024
Pending
Positive economic effects from the Fed's expected September 2024 rate cuts are not anticipated until September 2025 at the earliest, and more likely 2026-2027.
"assuming the FED starts cutting in September the earliest will start seeing a positive effect from t..."
Aug 2, 2024
Pending