US
US Recession
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 11
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The economic turmoil in multiple US states could lead to a federal-level recession.
"This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US in..."
Nov 11, 2025
Incorrect
22 US states are currently in a recession, with 13 more on the verge.
"22 states in the US are technically in a recession with another 13 reportedly hanging in the balance..."
Nov 11, 2025
Incorrect
A recession in the US would halt the current market rally and prevent further record highs.
"The biggest fear according to me is the USA going into a recession. USA is like the mother market. I..."
Apr 18, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker will discuss scenarios for the US economy concerning a potential recession.
"what if recession hits the USA. What if recession doesn't hit the USA."
Apr 11, 2025
Pending
A recession in the US is anticipated to begin showing signs by the end of March.
"by the end of March, you will start seeing some sign that recession is now kicking in in the US."
Jan 10, 2025
Pending
A recession in the United States is predicted to eventually occur, though the timing is unknown.
"we don't know when the next recession will happen in the United States but we know it will eventuall..."
Mar 1, 2024
Pending
A US recession is considered inevitable, it is only a matter of when it will occur.
"if history is any indication however it's not a question of if but when we'll see a recession"
Oct 17, 2023
Pending
A recession is predicted to be extremely likely in the second half of 2023.
"a recession is also extremely likely in the second half of this year"
Jun 4, 2023
Pending
A two-year bond yield being higher than a 10-year bond yield is an early indicator of a potential recession.
"typically a two-year bond yield being higher than a 10-year bond yield is not considered good it is ..."
Aug 11, 2022
Pending
Anticipates significant media coverage and focus on a recession if the upcoming GDP report is negative.
"if this Thursday we get a negative GDP report then the first thing that's gonna happen is the media ..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
Explains the Som Rule, a recession indicator based on a 0.5 percentage point rise in the 3-month moving average unemployment rate compared to its 12-month low.
"The Som rule says it identifies signals related to the start of a recession when the three-month mov..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
Predicts a high probability of negative GDP numbers on Thursday (July 28, 2022), indicating a recession in the first six months of 2022.
"I bet there's a really solid chance that Thursday this week the GDP numbers will be negative which m..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
States that the current Som number is zero, suggesting a low probability of being in or entering a recession soon, as unemployment has not risen by the threshold defined by the Som Rule.
"now right now our Som number is at zero which means in the last three months of unemployment data we..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
The official determination of whether the US is in a recession will be made on July 28th, based on the advance estimate of Q2 GDP from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. A negative GDP reading will confirm a recession.
"by that point we will know whether we're in a recession or not because come july 28th at 8 30 a.m th..."
Jul 8, 2022
Pending