US
US Tariffs
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 57
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
There is a high probability that the Supreme Court will rule Trump's tariffs illegal.
"I think there's such a high probability that these tariffs are set to be marked as illegal."
Jan 23, 2026
Pending
The author predicts that Trump's new 25% tariff order on countries doing business with Iran will not remain in effect.
"Again, I think it's important to understand that if this does stick, which I really don't think it w..."
Jan 13, 2026
Pending
The Supreme Court will not reverse the Trump-era tariffs.
"what I think is going to happen is they're not going to reverse the tariff revenue that Trump has pu..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
A Supreme Court decision on Trump's tariffs is expected tomorrow. If the ruling is against Trump, the US may have to refund collected tariffs.
"Supreme Court decision on Trump tariffs tomorrow. ... if the court order goes against Trump and if i..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
High chance the US Supreme Court will rule Trump's tariffs illegal in June 2026.
"And there's a high chance that they will rule it illegal based on poorly market betting odds."
Dec 27, 2025
Pending
A Supreme Court decision on tariffs, expected in December or January, has the potential to introduce significant volatility into the market.
"We also have a Supreme Court decision on tariffs expected in December or January, which could inject..."
Nov 19, 2025
Pending
Tariff revenue in 2025 is projected to be slightly under $300 billion.
"As you can see, the revenue collected this year from tariffs is so much higher than previous years. ..."
Nov 17, 2025
Pending
The Supreme Court is predicted to overrule tariffs within the next few months (from Oct 2025).
"tariffs could be overruled by the Supreme Court in the next few months"
Oct 10, 2025
Pending
America's initial tariff list featured an average rate of 27%, a tenfold increase compared to the 2024 average of 2.5%.
"The initial list showed America imposing an average tariff rate of 27%, more than 10 times higher th..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The July 31st executive order finalized the tariff schedule, validating negative expectations.
"The final executive order dropped on July 31st. The definitive tariff schedule confirmed everyone's ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff calculation method penalized efficient exporters while benefiting less efficient ones.
"The mathematical approach punished efficient exporters and rewarded inefficient ones."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The executive order issued on July 31st finalized the tariff schedule, confirming the most negative expectations.
"The final executive order dropped on July 31st. The definitive tariff schedule confirmed everyone's ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The methodology used for tariffs penalized efficient exporters while benefiting inefficient ones.
"The mathematical approach punished efficient exporters and rewarded inefficient ones."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The concept of Trump's reciprocal tariff framework was deemed absurd.
"The absurdity peaked with Trump's reciprocal tariff framework."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The 90-day grace period offered by Trump was viewed as a psychological tactic rather than a gesture of leniency.
"The 90-day grace period Trump granted wasn't so much mercy as psychological warfare."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff order was released at an extremely unfavorable time, coinciding with negative corporate earnings and weak economic data.
"The timing couldn't have been worse. The order landed just as markets were digesting disappointing e..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The initial tariff list included an average rate of 27%, significantly higher than the 2.5% average in 2024.
"The initial list showed America imposing an average tariff rate of 27%, more than 10 times higher th..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The tariff order's release coincided with a period of poor corporate earnings and weak economic indicators, making the timing particularly unfavorable.
"The timing couldn't have been worse. The order landed just as markets were digesting disappointing e..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Projected US tariff revenue: $5.2 trillion over 10 years (Penn Wharton) and $2.7 trillion from 2026-2035 (Yale).
"Pen Wharton is projecting $5.2 trillion in tariff revenue over 10 years. Yale estimates 2.7 trillion..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Baseline tariffs to increase to 10-20%, with secondary tariffs of 40% on countries assisting others in evading US duties, implemented in September.
"Trump has announced plans to raise the baseline tariff from 10 to 15 to 20% with September bringing ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The proposed US tariffs will not be implemented.
"this whole tariff thing is going to pass."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
New tariffs announced by Trump will be resolved.
"I think this is something that will actually pass."
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
Trump's newly announced tariffs are predicted to be temporary and will eventually pass.
"I think this is something that will actually pass."
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
Despite some clarity on current tariff rates, there are still many uncertainties to resolve, and the process of settling tariff agreements is not expected to conclude soon.
"we are still, you know, a ways away from seeing where things settle down. we are clearly getting mor..."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
The White House has stated August 1st is a firm deadline for tariffs and will not be postponed further.
"And now the White House is saying that August 1 is a firm deadline and it's not going to be pushed a..."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
New tariff deadline set for August 1st impacting 150 countries.
"August 1st is the new tariff deadline for 150 countries."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
Failure to reach a trade deal by August 1st will lead to increased tariffs, potentially causing market declines.
"And if a deal is not reached before August 1, tariffs are going up and that could push markets down."
Jul 24, 2025
Pending
Total tariffs collected by the US Treasury are predicted to exceed $300 billion in 2025.
"The Treasury reports it's collected over $100 billion in tariffs already this year and could top 300..."
Jul 21, 2025
Pending
BlackRock predicts that tariffs will not be as severe as some anticipate.
"Black Rock says, 'Yes, we're going to see tariffs, but they probably won't be as bad as some people ..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
BlackRock anticipates that high tariffs will not be sustained for an extended period.
"Black Rockck does not think that we are going to see very high tariffs sustained for a very long tim..."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
US tariffs (due for extension on July 8th, 2025) are predicted to be delayed if negotiations with other countries are positive.
"We might see just another delay with this extension of tariffs. as long as countries are in good fai..."
Jun 28, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes Trump will reduce tariffs in the very near future.
"I do believe that Trump reduces the tariffs very very very soon"
May 8, 2025
Pending
Uncertainty around Trump's tariffs is expected to resolve by early July.
"with luck most of the tariff uncertainty will be gone by the time the current 90-day pause expires s..."
Apr 20, 2025
Pending
US tariffs will be selectively revoked for some countries.
"I think from here onwards, you will see that maybe selectively for some countries, these people revo..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
US is expected to selectively revoke tariffs for some countries.
"I think from here onwards, you will see that maybe selectively for some countries, these people revo..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Broad US tariffs will be implemented on April 2nd and will likely be followed through, potentially extending to other areas.
"I do think you're going to get tariffs, pretty broad tariffs on on April 2nd. I don't think this is ..."
Mar 31, 2025
Pending
Trump's global reciprocal tariffs are predicted to go into effect on April 2nd, 2025.
"in about a week April 2nd Trump Global reciprocal tariffs go into place"
Mar 25, 2025
Pending
Trump's tariffs are predicted to be moderate, less severe than initially expected.
"So the world feels that perhaps, you know, the actual terrors will be a bit moderate. It will not be..."
Mar 25, 2025
Pending
US tariffs are predicted to be more moderate than initially anticipated.
"So the world feels that perhaps, you know, the actual terrors will be a bit moderate. It will not be..."
Mar 25, 2025
Pending
While 10% tariffs on China are expected to cause inflation, China might devalue its currency to preserve export competitiveness.
"it's assumed that these 10% tariffs would result in inflation but it's possible that China could cho..."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
Trump has indicated that tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico will proceed as planned.
"more recently Trump indicated that the tariffs on Canada and Mexico would actually be going ahead as..."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico are predicted to restart in March.
"president Trump recently announced that the 25% tariffs that were paused on Canada and Mexico are go..."
Feb 27, 2025
Pending
Trump is predicted to impose further tariff increases on Canada, Mexico, and China.
"It would be a mistake to assume that this is the last these countries have seen of his tariff hikes."
Feb 8, 2025
Pending
Trump is predicted to expand tariffs to include the EU and other Asian economies, especially those serving as supply chain points or offshore production for China.
"Trump ... is very likely to come back for more and is also likely to broaden his targets to include ..."
Feb 8, 2025
Pending
Trump's new tariffs will be less targeted and applied less gradually than in his first term, leading more Americans to feel the impact, specifically affecting iPhones and computers without exception.
"This time around, more Americans will feel the impact. ... This time there's no exception for Apple,..."
Feb 8, 2025
Pending
There is a decent chance that US tariffs will be rolled back within three months due to received concessions.
"with Donald Trump at the head I'd say there's decent odds that let's say we go 3 months out that the..."
Feb 4, 2025
Pending
On February 1, 2025, the US President will implement 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, and 10% tariffs on China.
"February 1st the president will be implementing tomorrow a 25 5% tariffs on Mexico 25% tariffs on Ca..."
Jan 31, 2025
Pending
Potential tariffs are expected.
"the potential tariffs that will be coming"
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
Tariff revenue for the US is predicted to peak at $780 billion (less than 40% of current income tax revenue) at a 50% tariff rate, with revenue declining if rates go higher.
"Research published by the Peterson Institute of international economics shows that Revenue tops out ..."
Nov 17, 2024
Pending
Implementing Trump's proposed tax cuts and tariff increases would lead to an 8.5% after-tax income fall for the lowest earners, with the highest earners seeing a 2.2% net gain.
"the lowest earning quintile would see their after tax income Fall by 8.5% Everyone would see their a..."
Nov 17, 2024
Pending