ilmscore | Will Your Bank Survive A Recession? What You Need To Know

Will Your Bank Survive A Recession? What You Need To Know

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
All 23 major banks tested by the FED have sufficient capital to withstand a recession or market shock.
"The FED determined they all had enough capital on hand to survive a recession or Market shock."
Banking System Stability
Pending
A severe economic downturn scenario includes unemployment reaching 10%, GDP declining by 8.75%, stock market falling by 45%, and the VIX reaching 75.
"They assume that unemployment rate would spike to 10 percent... They assume an 8.75 percent decline to the GDP and they assume the stock market would Fall by 45 percent They also assume the vix would reach 75."
Economic Downturn Scenario
Pending
Real estate values are predicted to decline by 38-40% between 2022 and 2024 in a severe downturn scenario.
"And they also assumed that real estate could lose 38 to 40 percent from 2022 to 2024."
Real Estate Market Decline
Pending
In a severe stress test scenario, Citizens Bank is identified as the weakest with 6.4% capital, while Charles Schwab is the strongest with 22.8% capital.
"Citizens Bank came out to be the weakest at 6.4 percent in their piggy bank and the strongest bank with the least risk was Charles Schwab at 22.8 percent."
Bank Resilience
Pending
The FED's definition of a 'severely adverse scenario' involving $540 billion in losses is contextualized for an average person.
"but ultimately the real question is this how much is 540 billion dollars to me an average person a hundred billion dollars worth of losses would sound like a lot but what does that actually mean The FED defines this as a severely adverse scenario"
Banking System Stability
Pending
Stress tests were insufficient to predict the failure of smaller regional banks, which had warning signs but were too small to be caught by the radar.
"it's exactly why even though we have all of these stress tests in place the smaller Regional Banks still failed even though there were actually warning signs and we knew that some of these Banks were weak they still flew onto the radar because they were too small"
Bank Failures
Pending
To be considered 'well capitalized' after a stress test, systematically important banks must maintain at least 10% of total assets in reserve.
"to get the a in this case in other words to be considered well capitalized after this stress test a bank that's considered systematically too big to fail needs to have left at least 10 percent of total assets inside of this piggy bank"
Bank Capital Requirements
Pending
A passing grade in the bank stress test requires a minimum of 4.5% capital.
"the best grade you can get a passing grade in this case a d or the minimum to be compliant is actually 4.5"
Bank Capital Requirements
Pending
Even after hypothetical losses of $540 billion, the tested banks are projected to remain operational and capable of issuing loans.
"what this test showed is that the banks could lose 540 billion dollars worth and still continue to be operational and still give out loans to people"
Bank Operational Status
Pending
Some banks received a 'C' grade in the recent stress tests.
"there were some C student Banks"
Bank Performance
Pending