Wtf Is Bidenomics? How It Affects You
Published: 2023-07-17
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2023-07-17
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Small businesses are facing a cash crunch, and further Federal Reserve rate hikes will exacerbate this problem, leading to unhappiness among their CEOs.
"there is no there's no cash for small businesses and when the FED raises rates another 50 basis points that's going to make it worse so no I'm not happy and I'm in the real world talking to CEOs of small companies that are family owned in America in almost every state every day they're not happy either"
Pending
A major crisis is predicted for small businesses, as they are expected to feel the full impact of higher interest rates between March and September of the current year (2023), despite recent optimism index data.
"and there's a major Crisis coming in here's the data that he's referring to the optimism index which measures how happy small businesses are right now just reached the highest level in 2023 but Kevin's argument here is that the data is not showing the full picture because you usually takes anywhere between 12 to 18 months for the economy to feel the full pain of higher interest rates and the FED has started to raise rates 16 months ago back in March of 2022 and rates were closer to zero and now of course the rates are up over five percent now 12 to 18 months from that point on puts us exactly at march to September of this year so anytime between that time frame is when small businesses will feel the pain of the cost of capital the most"
Pending
The actual number of new jobs created under President Biden is estimated to be closer to 4 million, significantly less than the 13 million claimed by the White House.
"so the truth is yes the president has created more new jobs while he was in office but it's nowhere near the amount the White House would like for us to believe it's not 13 million new jobs if anything it's closer to 4 million jobs on the higher end"
Pending
The reported reduction in the deficit is largely due to the expiration of stimulus programs from 2020-2021, rather than active policy by the current administration.
"the real truth is that a lot of the deficit reduction can be attributed to the spending we did in 2020 with the stimulus when both parties approved 3.1 trillion dollars of new spending so fast forward to 2021 and 2022 when those programs expired the deficit went from 3.1 to 1.4 which is a difference of exactly 1.7 trillion dollars which is where they get that number so yes the deficit was reduced but it was something that happened automatically"
Pending
A $550 billion investment in infrastructure over the next five years is predicted to have a positive long-term effect on GDP by increasing national efficiency.
"I also want to acknowledge that investing 550 billion dollars over the next five years on our infrastructure is a good thing studies show that this tends to have a positive effect on a country's GDP because it makes the country more efficient in the long term"
Pending
The S&P 500 (VOO) has performed exceptionally well, up 18% year-to-date, significantly exceeding the typical 8-10% annual return for stocks.
"and then of course we can't forget about how good the stock market and the housing market have done so far the S P 500 for example is represented by this ETF ticker symbol vo the golden Benchmark that all investors try to compete against is up 18 this year which is amazing when you remember that stocks are supposed to return between 8 to 10 percent in a good year so this is really really good"
Pending
The S&P 500 (represented by VOO) is predicted to be up 18% for the year, significantly outperforming the typical 8-10% expected return.
"The S P 500 for example is represented by this ETF ticker symbol vo the golden Benchmark that all investors try to compete against is up 18 this year which is amazing when you remember that stocks are supposed to return between 8 to 10 percent in a good year"
Pending
A crisis is coming for small businesses due to rising interest rates from the Federal Reserve, making it worse for them.
"And the FED raises rates another 50 basis points that's going to make it worse so no I'm not happy and I'm in the real world talking to CEOs of small companies that are family owned in America in almost every state every day they're not happy either so I'm not listening to that data I'm dealing with reality"
Pending
Small businesses will feel the full impact of higher interest rates, specifically the cost of capital, between March and September of the current year (implied 2023 based on context).
"because you usually takes anywhere between 12 to 18 months for the economy to feel the full pain of higher interest rates and the FED has started to raise rates 16 months ago back in March of 2022 and rates were closer to zero and now of course the rates are up over five percent now 12 to 18 months from that point on puts us exactly at march to September of this year so anytime between that time frame is when small businesses will feel the pain of the cost of capital the most"
Pending
While the Biden administration has created new jobs, the actual number is estimated to be around 4 million, not the 13 million advertised.
"The truth is yes the president has created more new jobs while he was in office but it's nowhere near the amount the White House would like for us to believe it's not 13 million new jobs if anything it's closer to 4 million jobs on the higher end"
Pending
Median earnings have decreased when adjusted for inflation, despite the creation of new jobs.
"because even though there are four million new jobs the amount of money people made in terms of the median earnings in that time frame are actually down when taking inflation into account"
Pending
39 billion dollars in federal student loan debt will be canceled, benefiting at least 800,000 borrowers.
"but it is good for at least 800 000 borrowers because 39 billion dollars worth of federal student loan debt will be canceled"
Pending