ilmscore | The End Of Free Money Is Here

The End Of Free Money Is Here

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
A cascade of commercial real estate loan refinancings in the upcoming year (2024) could significantly harm the economy, potentially revealing more issues that arose from low interest rates.
"next year there's going to be a Cascade of refinancings that could really hurt the economy and maybe there are buildings that should not have been built purchases that should not have been made because interest rates were so low at the time and what that really means is we have yet to see how many more things could break in the economy when those loans come due for refinancing especially in commercial real estate"
Commercial Real Estate
Pending
The Federal Reserve does not anticipate a recession due to slowing inflation, low unemployment, and the Dow Jones index's strong performance (13 consecutive up days, best since 1987).
"the Federal Reserve has officially announced that they don't think a recession will happen and that's because inflation or the rate of price growth is finally slowing down unemployment's really low and the top 30 most publicly traded stocks in the stock market called the Dow Jones index was up 13 days in a row which is its best performance in the last 36 years since 1987."
Economic Outlook
Pending
Despite high interest rates, the S&P 500 has risen nearly 20% and the NASDAQ (tech stocks) has increased by 36% this year.
"the S P 500 is up almost 20 percent this year and the NASDAQ which is made up of mostly tech stocks is up a huge 36 percent in a time when interest rates are relatively high"
Stock Market Performance
Pending
Missing the top 10 market days can result in losing half of the market's growth, and missing the top 30 days can lead to 83% less in stock market returns.
"if you miss the top 10 days of the market for example you'll miss out on roughly half of the Market's growth and if you miss the top 30 best days of a market you can make as much as 83 percent less in the stock market"
Market Timing Risk
Pending
A hypothetical $10,000 investment from 1930, missing the top 10 market days per decade, would grow to $12,800 (28% increase) by today. If all best days were captured, the portfolio would be worth nearly $1.8 million (an 18,000% increase).
"if you take a hypothetical ten thousand dollars that you invested in 1930 but you missed out on the top 10 days across each of the Decades all the way up until the present time today after 93 years of investing your ten thousand dollars would be worth roughly twelve thousand eight hundred dollars and increase of 28 percent but if you stayed invested and you didn't miss the best days today you probably would not be alive so be glad you weren't born in 1930 but your portfolio would be up almost eighteen thousand percent or close to 1.8 million dollars"
Long-Term Investing
Pending