ilmscore | Japan’s Warning For The US Economy (Interest Rates Just Flipped)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 15
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 15
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bank of Japan to end its negative interest rate policy in 2024.
"the bank of Japan is expected to unwind its negative interest rate policy in 2024"
Japan's Interest Rate Policy
Pending
Japan's policy change could have a significant impact on US treasuries.
"the fallout in us treasuries could be huge"
US Treasury Bonds
Pending
Japan has ended its 7-year negative interest rate policy.
"Japan just declared that it's ending its negative interest rate experiment that it started 7 years ago"
Japan's Interest Rate Policy
Pending
Japan's economy was experiencing deflation and falling prices.
"Japan's economy had the opposite problem they had negative inflation and their prices were falling"
Japan's Monetary Policy
Pending
Japan implemented negative interest rates, going below zero.
"Japan had the bright idea to lower them instead but lowering them not just to zero like the US did during the pandemic but dropping the rates to below zero into negative interest rates"
Japan's Interest Rate Policy
Pending
Japan's negative interest rate policy experiment is concluding this year (2024).
"this year though marks the end of that experiment"
Japan's Monetary Policy
Pending
Continued high spending by the US will necessitate further increases in interest rates.
"if the United States keeps borrowing and keeps spending money like it's doing at a record drunken sailor Pace it means it would have to increase interest rates even more"
US Debt and Interest Rates
Pending
Raising US interest rates increases debt payments, requiring more borrowing and bond issuance.
"as we've learned the negative side effect of doing that is that it increases the payments on our debt which means we have to borrow more by creating more treasury bonds"
US Debt and Interest Rates
Pending
Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio is the highest among developed nations at 263%.
"Japan has a 263 debt to GDP ratio which is the highest of any developed country in the world"
Japan's Interest Rate Policy
Pending
Raising interest rates in Japan will significantly increase its debt servicing costs.
"having those rates too high means their interest payments on their debt will become that much more expensive"
Japan's Interest Rate Policy
Pending
The Bank of Japan aims to prevent the failure of its domestic banks.
"Japan does not want to see the failure of its own Banks"
Banking Sector Stability
Pending
Higher Japanese interest rates will strengthen the Yen, reducing Yen revenue for Japanese companies exporting goods, negatively impacting the stock market.
"when Japan raises interest rates that will make the Yen stronger against the dollar which sounds like a good thing for Japan but when Japan's private sector sells all the products overseas and it converts the dollars that it's made back into Yen they'll have less Yen for it that means those private companies will make less money they're less profitable which hurts the stock market"
Stock Market
Pending
The Bank of Japan is the largest investor in the Japanese stock market.
"the number one investor in the Japanese stock market is the Bank of Japan"
Bank of Japan's Investment
Pending
Japan may be hesitant to sell US Treasury bonds if they are currently valued below their purchase price, as this would result in a loss.
"they are worth less today than what they paid for them so they don't want to sell them at a loss"
US Treasury Bonds
Pending
The speaker predicts that Japan's policy changes will have a limited impact on the US economy, and the US will continue on its current economic trajectory.
"this entire situation with Japan probably won't have that much of an effect on the US economy and will still keep going on the same path"
US Economy
Pending