Crypto News: Bitcoin Breaking, Trump Trauma, Tariff Crash & More
Published: 2025-04-07
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-07
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
By December 2025, there is an 81% chance of four Fed rate cuts, a 46% chance of five cuts, and Goldman Sachs predicts 130 basis points in Fed rate cuts for 2025.
"as you can see the distribution moving to the left considerably from the current versus a week ago and indeed a month ago. And right now there's an 81% chance of four cuts by the end of the year. This is 2025, December 2025. And 46% chance of five cuts. And Goldman Sachs predicts 130 basis points in Fed rate cuts for 2025."
Pending
Historically, Q2 has been a strong period for risk assets like Bitcoin, with notable gains in past cycles: 42% in Q2 2020, 159% in 2019, and 132% in 2017.
"Q2 has been a strong period for risk assets. Bitcoin has delivered decent Q2 gains in past cycles. Notably in Q2 2020 it jumped by 42% 2019 it jumped by 159% and in 2017 it rallied by 132%."
Pending
Bitcoin dominance is rising, making it the likely primary asset for investors outside of crypto to consider.
"Bitcoin dominance is rising. Bitcoin I think for you know investors kind of outside of crypto is if you like it probably going to be the only asset they're looking at."
Pending
Altcoins are expected to struggle unless the Fed implements monetary stimulus, which would lead to a rally in risk assets.
"I think alts are going to continue to struggle unless we get unless the Fed turns on the printer. Exactly. So my that's that's my theory as well. I think that until when monetary stimulus comes it is going to lead to lots of risk assets rallying."
Pending
Ethereum is scheduled to finalize its PRA upgrade on May 7th, which is hoped to boost altcoin performance.
"on the May the 7th uh we've got Ethereum is finalizing the PRA upgrade. So the hope all hope you know there we go. Wish upon a star. Your altcoin dreams are riding on the 7th of May. The pectra is coming mate."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to be up by the end of Q2, with increasing Bitcoin dominance. While some altcoins may also see gains, they might collectively struggle against Bitcoin's dominance.
"I think Bitcoin is going to be up by the end of Q2. Bitcoin dominance is going to be up by the end of Q2 even from these levels. You think even I think it's I think definitely because I think that the liquidity is going to still flow into Bitcoin and there will be rotation but there will be other altcoins. I'm not going to say any right now but I think that definitely there will be a lot of some altcoins that will definitely be up right"
Pending
Stablecoin growth is expected to continue strongly, which will be interesting to observe in relation to Bitcoin and non-stablecoin altcoins.
"and it'll be interesting to see Bitcoin versus the others which is non-stable coin altcoins because I think stable coin growth is definitely going to continue flying"
Pending
Economists are forecasting a decrease in CPI, with a year-over-year forecast of 2.5% (down from 2.8%) and a core forecast of 3% (down from 3.1%).
"The 2.5% is a forecast. So there's forecasting lower CPI year-over-year and versus 2.8% previously and then of course core at 3% and previous 3.1%. So the economists are forecast and at least the last time I checked or we checked uh it to have come down."
Pending
It is possible for Bitcoin to go below $70K, with some indicating low $70K as a potential bottom, though betting on it is not advised.
"Can we see BTC below 70K? Still at an average price of 50K. So, opening limit orders. Could could we go below 70K? I think it's possible. It's possible, but I wouldn't I wouldn't bet on it. No. Okay. I think most people have said that potentially if we're going to go down uh 70 low 70k is the potential bottom that have people have flagged"
Pending
All economic roads are leading to money printing and increased liquidity. The Fed is expected to step in, China has announced monetary stimulus, and Europe is implementing large fiscal spending packages, all contributing to global liquidity.
"Coming back to the question of all roads lead to money printing. All roads lead to additional liquidity coming into the system because the Fed is going to have to step in right already there talk they go into China just announced monetary stim frontloading the monetary stimulus other countries are going to follow suit. Europe is going with these massive fiscal spending packages. That's all global liquidity flooding into the system."
Pending
Looking towards the end of Q2 and the end of the year, Bitcoin is considered one of the best risk-return opportunities.
"So if I'm looking out to the end of Q2 if I'm looking out to the end of the year I still think it's one of the best risk return opportunities right now."
Pending
Bitcoin has opened a significant CME gap to the downside, and it is predicted to struggle in closing this gap without positive macroeconomic developments.
"Bitcoin did open up a very big CME gap to the downside uh this evening, obviously. Now, yes, we usually come back and close CME gaps. But in this case, I think it will be it will struggle to close that unless there are some positive on the macro side of it."
Pending
A 'death cross' has occurred on Bitcoin's chart, with the 50-day moving average crossing below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a negative technical indicator.
"the 50-day moving average had crossed over the 100 day the 200 day moving average. So in case that didn't the name didn't give it away, a death cross is not necessarily a good thing."
Pending
Bitcoin is demonstrating dominance and strength relative to altcoins, suggesting it is currently perceived as a safer investment option.
"Bitcoin dominance is showing that dominance and strength. So right now it seems like Bitcoin is a safer bet."
Pending
Bitcoin's dominance is predicted to increase by the end of Q2, even from its current levels.
"Bitcoin dominance is going to be up by the end of Q2 even from these levels."
Pending
Over the next few months, the market is expected to become clearer, with an influx of global liquidity due to money printing and fiscal stimulus from various countries, including China and Europe. This scenario makes Bitcoin one of the best risk-return opportunities through the end of Q2 and the year.
"I still think that over the next few months it would all be made clear. Coming back to the question of all roads lead to money printing. All roads lead to additional liquidity coming into the system because the Fed is going to have to step in right already there talk they go into China just announced monetary stim frontloading the monetary stimulus other countries are going to follow suit. Europe is going with these massive fiscal spending packages. That's all global liquidity flooding into the system. So if I'm looking out to the end of Q2 if I'm looking out to the end of the year I still think it's one of the best risk return opportunities right now."
Pending
The Pectra upgrade for Ethereum is expected to finalize on May 7th, and it is seen as a potential catalyst for altcoin dreams.
"Ethereum is finalizing the PRA upgrade. So the hope all hope you know there we go. Wish upon a star. Your altcoin dreams are riding on the 7th of May. The pectra is coming mate."
Pending
Cosmos's ATOM stablecoin had a relatively good week, although it is noted as being down 1% according to one chart.
"Cosmos's Atom. Now, that's something I never thought I'd hear you hear on a coin view live. The ine these Cosmos stable the atom stable coin. Yeah, it's uh it enjoyed a good week last week. Although, I mean, it's only just uh only just scraped into Yeah, it says one Well, it says 1% down."
Pending
The ATOM stablecoin from Cosmos experienced a positive week, though it is reported as being down 1-2% on certain charts, with a discussion on whether a small loss can be perceived as a gain in the crypto market.
"The ine these Cosmos stable the atom stable coin. Yeah, it's uh it enjoyed a good week last week. Although, I mean, it's only just uh only just scraped into Yeah, it says one Well, it says 1% down. Yeah. On this chart, so that's not a gainer. That's a good week. Well, it was g over the week. Over the seven days, it gained, but it says one it says it's down by 2% on the seven days."
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to increase in price and its market dominance is expected to rise by the end of Q2, even from current levels.
"I think Bitcoin is going to be up by the end of Q2. Bitcoin dominance is going to be up by the end of Q2 even from these levels."
Pending
Historically, Q2 has shown strong performance for risk assets, with Bitcoin experiencing significant gains in past cycles (e.g., 42% in Q2 2020, 159% in Q2 2019, 132% in Q2 2017).
"Q2 has historically been a strong period for risk assets. Bitcoin has delivered decent Q2 gains in past cycles. Notably in Q2 2020 it jumped by 42% 2019 it jumped by 159% and in 2017 it rallied by 132%."
Pending
A JP Morgan analyst predicts the Fed may implement an emergency rate cut before their scheduled meeting.
"The Fed could step in for an emergency rate cut before the next meeting."
Pending
Arthur Hayes' analysis suggests that the Fed will eventually resort to money printing and submit to fiscal dominance due to the necessity of monetary stimulus.
"all roads do lead to money printing. And this reminds me of an actual I did an interview over the weekend with Arthur Hayes where I we talked about his most recent piece uh which was referencing uh Fed's money printing and how the Fed will have to submit to the fiscal dominance of Bessant and co and it was really interesting and basically it is it is true if we are going to have to have monetary stimulus the Chinese talked about it which we'll talk about a bit later there is all roads lead to money printing"
Pending
If market declines and recession fears escalate, the Federal Reserve will be compelled to provide stimulus.
"If if markets continue tanking and if recessionary fears start creeping up then stimulus will have to come and Jerome will have to submit."
Pending
Market indicators suggest an 81% probability of four Fed rate cuts by December 2025, with a 46% chance of five cuts. Goldman Sachs forecasts a total of 130 basis points in cuts for 2025.
"there's an 81% chance of four cuts by the end of the year. This is 2025, December 2025. And 46% chance of five cuts. And Goldman Sachs predicts 130 basis points in Fed rate cuts for 2025."
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to pause quantitative tightening. They might be compelled to engage in quantitative easing by purchasing treasury debt, particularly if the debt ceiling is raised, despite their previous statements ruling it out until rates reach zero.
"The Fed has p is going to pause quantitive tightening and um they may be forced to if the if the debt ceiling is raised potentially to buy debt from the treasury which would be easing quantitive easing there's talk about quantitive easing now more than ever, even though the Fed has explicitly ruled it out until rates are at zero."
Pending
Altcoins are expected to continue struggling unless the Federal Reserve implements monetary stimulus.
"alts are going to continue to struggle unless we get unless the Fed turns on the printer."
Pending
Despite overall altcoin struggles, some individual altcoins are predicted to outperform Bitcoin, suggesting that alt season is not entirely lost.
"there are definitely going to be some altcoins that are going to definitely outperform Bitcoin individually. And that's why I still think that, you know, you shouldn't, you shouldn't, not all hope is lost in terms of alt season."
Pending
Monetary stimulus is expected to lead to a rotation into risk assets, potentially benefiting altcoins. However, Ethereum might be skipped in this rotation, although other altcoins are expected to follow the usual rotation pattern.
"If we do get that monetary stimulus, there will be flowing down the risk curve, the rotation as usually is the case into although I think they'll skip over ETH, but uh you know guys held and I'd hope that they're going to go down the normal rotation route."
Pending
With Paul Atkins' likely confirmation as the new head of the SEC, the agency is expected to adopt a much more favorable stance towards crypto and innovation, removing a significant past overhang for the industry.
"Paul Atkins from what Ha was saying is very much you know on the same page as she is. So although we've got this crippling tariff regime screwing everything up fundamentally one of the big overhangs from from previous years has gone. The SEC is much more favorably inclined towards crypto now much more favorably inclined towards innovation."
Pending
Two stablecoin bills, the Genius Act and the Stable Act (potentially dubbed the 'Stable Genius Act'), are progressing through Congress.
"We've also got two stable coin bills making their way through Congress. Uh there's the Genius Act and the Stable Act. The Stable Genius Act."
Pending
J.P. Morgan has significantly increased its recession forecast, now estimating a 60% chance of a global recession this year, up from previous figures of 35-40% for the US alone.
"JP Morgan came out and revised their estimates for a recession in the US up 60% not just in the US obviously in the US but also global recession the chance of a global recession this year is at 60%. Am I right in thinking that when we did the stream last week so this time last week JP Morgan had revised it up to 35%. I think that was Goldman. JP Morgan was at 40% but that was US. Now it's completely up. So now they've slapped a 20% rise on their chances."
Pending
A theory suggests that the current administration is focused on lowering the 10-year yield to enable more favorable refinancing conditions for the substantial amount of debt due this year.
"The 10-year yield because this is one of the things this is one of the arguments for the fact that Trump is maybe playing 3D or 4D chess or whatever it is. The fact that you know on in his last term he wanted to be judged on the markets. This time what he wants to do is get the 10-year yield down because of all this debt that needs to be refinanced this year. They basically want to refinance it under more favorable conditions."
Pending
The tariffs imposed by the current administration are in some cases more than ten times higher than the weighted tariffs of the World Trade Organization.
"This is the actual world world trade Organization weighted tariffs and as you can see the imposed tariffs from Trump's calculation there in some cases is more than 10 times higher."
Pending
The Smoot-Hawley tariffs of the 1930s are widely believed by economists to have worsened and prolonged the Great Depression, even though it had begun before their enactment.
"Smoot holy was these tariffs that were implemented back the the tariff act back in the 1930s. Yeah. And this uh led many many most seem to think and most economists and most the consensus is they led to the great depression. Although I think what's Trump's angle is that well so the great depression had started 8 months before the tariffs were were enacted but the I think the consensus among economists now is that they you know they made the great depression a lot worse like it lasted for longer than it would have done."
Pending
Donald Trump's perspective is that the Great Depression occurred due to insufficient tariff levels.
"Trump's um Trump's assertion is that the Great Depression only happened because tariffs weren't high enough."
Pending
The general consensus among economists is that the current tariff policies are detrimental to the economy and are considered a poor strategy.
"The consensus is this is going to trash the economy and is really not a very good idea."
Pending
The EU is evaluating its response to the tariffs, while the UK and other nations are seeking ways to mitigate their impact or find exemptions.
"The EU is considering options um but the UK and others have seek offramps."
Pending
The ongoing trade situation is expected to involve both negotiations and pushback from various countries, exemplified by China's reaction.
"there's going to be negotiation. There's going to be or or there's going to be push back like we're seeing from China."
Pending
There is a question about the viability of bringing manufacturing jobs back to Western nations, given the increasing automation driven by AI and robotics, suggesting that the sector might be in decline regardless.
"the idea of of bringing manufacturing jobs back to the US or back to any of these kind of western nations that lost them. I mean, are we not talking about a sector that's being increasingly automated? You know, there's so much talk about AI and robotics now like man, if you're bringing back manufacturing jobs, are you not just trying to bring back something that is kind of dying anyway?"
Pending
Donald Trump is being considered for permanent placement on the 'wall of shame' if he does not provide assistance, as his actions are perceived to have negatively impacted not only crypto but all financial markets.
"Trump for a permanent feature on the wall of shame if he doesn't turn around and help us out a little bit. You know, it's been uh it's been a quite a bit of a rugpull um compared to what we were expecting, not just for crypto, but everyone in the markets right now, at least those who hold financial assets of any description."
Pending
If President Trump withdraws the tariffs and helps stabilize the market, past actions will be forgiven.
"If you hold off on the tariffs and pull us out the tail spin, then all will be forgiven."
Pending
A prediction is made that Trump will initiate actions against the McDonald's and Heard Islands.
"Trump attacking the McDonald's and Herd Islands."
Pending
GameStop successfully closed a $1.5 billion debt offering, securing capital that could be used for acquisitions if the company remains significantly bullish on its prospects.
"GameStop had officially closed their $ 1.5 billion debt offering which therefore means they now have the cash should they decide to buy if they've been embarrass bullish enough you know they might timed it pretty well."
Pending
There is a 60% probability of a global recession occurring this year.
"global recession the chance of a global recession this year is at 60%."
Pending
There is an 81% probability of four Federal Reserve rate cuts by December 2025, and a 46% chance of five cuts.
"There's an 81% chance of four cuts by the end of the year. This is 2025, December 2025. And 46% chance of five cuts."
Pending
Goldman Sachs anticipates a total of 130 basis points in Federal Reserve rate cuts for the year 2025.
"Goldman Sachs predicts 130 basis points in Fed rate cuts for 2025."
Pending
The current administration's stated objective is to reduce the 10-year yield, which has been observed to be decreasing.
"The administration's stated focus is obviously bringing down the 10-year yield, which has been coming down."
Pending
With global liquidity increasing, the outlook for the end of Q2 and the year suggests it remains one of the best risk-return opportunities.
"global liquidity flooding into the system. So if I'm looking out to the end of Q2 if I'm looking out to the end of the year I still think it's one of the best risk return opportunities right now."
Pending
Economists forecast a decrease in year-over-year CPI to 2.5% (down from 2.8%) and core CPI to 3% (down from 3.1%).
"The 2.5% is a forecast. So there's forecasting lower CPI year-over-year and versus 2.8% previously and then of course core at 3% and previous 3.1%. So the economists are forecast and at least the last time I checked or we checked uh it to have come down."
Pending
The current market crash is viewed as an opportunity for smart investors, with Bitcoin potentially offering attractive risk-reward levels at present.
"This is the kind of crash smart investors wait for. This is so true. This is so true. And I think that on a risk return basis right now Bitcoin could be very at very attractive levels."
Pending
Tariffs are seen as a significant obstacle that is blocking all potential positive developments or paths related to Bitcoin.
"All roads related to Bitcoin. All roads are blocked by tariffs."
Pending
China has announced monetary stimulus measures, and it is anticipated that other countries will follow suit.
"China just announced monetary stim frontloading the monetary stimulus other countries are going to follow suit."
Pending
Europe is implementing substantial fiscal spending packages.
"Europe is going with these massive fiscal spending packages."
Pending
While specific altcoins are not named, it is predicted that some will perform well and increase in value by the end of Q2.
"there will be other altcoins. I'm not going to say any right now but I think that definitely there will be a lot of some altcoins that will definitely be up right"
Pending
The ETH/BTC ratio is expected to remain challenging, with ETH currently in a tough spot and facing difficulties in identifying positive catalysts, despite the upcoming Pectra upgrade.
"I still think that ETH beat well I don't know ETH BTC I know I know I [__] on ETH a lot I think you know it's beaten up a lot um but yeah it's difficult right because it's it's rallying it's against Bitcoin right yeah so look I I'll admit it is very difficult to see positive catalysts for ETH now Petra upgrade notwithstanding like it is in a tough spot"
Pending
The growth of stablecoins is predicted to continue at a rapid pace.
"and I think stable coin growth is definitely going to continue flying"
Pending
Unboxing videos are predicted to become the next major phenomenon, akin to James Bond.
"The idea unboxing videos is going to be the next James Bond."
Pending