ilmscore | Recession by Design?! The Shocking Liberation Day Theory

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
Investors are expected to move into US 10-year Treasury notes, lowering yields and reducing government debt repayment costs.
"investors can be expected to flee from risk assets into the safety of US 10-year Treasury notes pushing down their yields and therefore the size of the government's debt repayments"
USD
Pending
Bitcoin may be heading towards the mid-$60,000 range as a significant demand zone.
"it looks like a slippery slope could be leading to the next significant zone of demand in the mid $60,000 range"
BTC
Pending
JP Morgan predicts the US economy will shrink in 2025 and 2026, with a recession starting by the end of 2025.
"JP Morgan for example now expects the US economy to shrink in 2025 and 2026 with the recession expected to begin by the end of the year."
US Economy
Pending
Rosenblat Securities projects the iPhone could exceed $2,200, with some estimates reaching $3,500, due to increased costs.
"according to a projection by Rosenblat Securities the price of Apple's flagship iPhone for example could exceed $2,200 if Apple passes increased costs onto consumers with some estimates being as high as $3,500"
Apple iPhone Price
Pending
UBS predicts inflation will settle around 5% if the Liberation Day tariffs become permanent.
"UBS has predicted will settle around 5% assuming Trump's Liberation Day tariffs become permanent"
US Inflation
Pending
The combination of tariffs and reduced export competitiveness is predicted to lead to economic contraction and recession within 6 months.
"this combined with retaliatory tariffs making American exports less competitive is a recipe for economic contraction 6 months of that and boom you're in recession town"
US Economy
Pending
US debt repayments in 2025 are projected to cost nearly $1 trillion, representing 13.5% of the federal budget, due to elevated interest rates.
"as interest rates remain elevated from the 2022 inflationary environment repayments on US debt are expected to cost close to $1 trillion this year or around 13.5% of the federal budget for 2025"
US National Debt Refinancing Costs
Pending