Recession by Design?! The Shocking Liberation Day Theory
Published: 2025-04-08
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-08
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Investors are expected to move into US 10-year Treasury notes, lowering yields and reducing government debt repayment costs.
"investors can be expected to flee from risk assets into the safety of US 10-year Treasury notes pushing down their yields and therefore the size of the government's debt repayments"
Pending
$6.4 trillion evaporated from US stocks in the days following the tariff announcement.
"by Friday $6.4 trillion had evaporated from US stocks"
Pending
The Nasdaq entered a bear market following the tariff announcement.
"the Nasdaq in a bare market"
Pending
The Dow Jones entered correction territory following the tariff announcement.
"this put the Dow Jones in correction territory"
Pending
The S&P 500 experienced its largest 48-hour drop ever.
"meanwhile the S&P suffered its biggest 48hour drop ever"
Pending
The CBOE Volatility Index reached its highest level since the start of the pandemic.
"the CBOE volatility index which measures investor anxiety closed at its highest level since the beginning of the pandemic"
Pending
Bitcoin has been in a strong downtrend on the daily timeframe since January 20th.
"BTC has been in a strong downtrend on the daily time frame since the 20th of January"
Pending
Bitcoin may be heading towards the mid-$60,000 range as a significant demand zone.
"it looks like a slippery slope could be leading to the next significant zone of demand in the mid $60,000 range"
Pending
JP Morgan predicts the US economy will shrink in 2025 and 2026, with a recession starting by the end of 2025.
"JP Morgan for example now expects the US economy to shrink in 2025 and 2026 with the recession expected to begin by the end of the year."
Pending
Rosenblat Securities projects the iPhone could exceed $2,200, with some estimates reaching $3,500, due to increased costs.
"according to a projection by Rosenblat Securities the price of Apple's flagship iPhone for example could exceed $2,200 if Apple passes increased costs onto consumers with some estimates being as high as $3,500"
Pending
UBS predicts inflation will settle around 5% if the Liberation Day tariffs become permanent.
"UBS has predicted will settle around 5% assuming Trump's Liberation Day tariffs become permanent"
Pending
The combination of tariffs and reduced export competitiveness is predicted to lead to economic contraction and recession within 6 months.
"this combined with retaliatory tariffs making American exports less competitive is a recipe for economic contraction 6 months of that and boom you're in recession town"
Pending
A potential motive for the administration's actions is to refinance national debt at lower interest rates.
"the administration's real goal is to refinance its debt on the cheap by forcing down interest rates for the Treasury"
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US debt repayments in 2025 are projected to cost nearly $1 trillion, representing 13.5% of the federal budget, due to elevated interest rates.
"as interest rates remain elevated from the 2022 inflationary environment repayments on US debt are expected to cost close to $1 trillion this year or around 13.5% of the federal budget for 2025"
Pending
The tariff rates were calculated by dividing the US trade deficit with a country by that country's exports to the US.
"for every country they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us"
Pending
China announced an additional 34% tariff on American imports.
"Beijing announced an additional 34% tariff on Chinese imports"
Pending