Crypto News: BTC $100K? Altcoin Breakout, SUI & TAO Pump, TRUMP & More
Published: 2025-04-28
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-28
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker is anticipating Bitcoin potentially reaching $100k in the near future, suggesting it's a possibility for the next week's stream.
"So, do you think we're going to go above 100k? Will we be will we be wearing our 100k hats for next week's stream?"
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Bitcoin has a strong chance of reaching $100k if it can hold above $95k and external factors (like Trump's statements) remain favorable.
"If he doesn't and if we hold above 95k, strong chance to get there."
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A video by Dan speculates on the speed of Bitcoin's rally to $200k if it surpasses $100k.
"Dan just released a video a few hours ago on whether Bitcoin will crack, how quickly can we rally to 200K if we go above 100."
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Bitcoin's correlation with equities has dropped significantly to 33%, while its correlation with gold has risen to 76%, indicating a decoupling trend that is hoped to continue.
"The correlation has fallen to 33%. So correlation with equities is down a lot. And then the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to 76%. So if factor from the data there, that's decoupling. Now it's it's still only, you know, a week in, but so far it's looking good. This is a trend we would definitely like to see uh like to see lengthen out, I think."
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The speaker believes the early signs of Bitcoin decoupling from traditional markets suggest it could be emerging as a risk-off asset or safe-haven hedge.
"So I think we could start be seeing the green shoots of a decoupling."
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The growth in stablecoin liquidity on the SUI network is considered extremely bullish for SUI.
"Um, so yeah, to see that metric go up is I think extremely bullish for Suie."
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SUI has achieved significant milestones including over 500 million transactions, 7% user adoption growth, over $1.5 billion in TVL, and nearly $900 million in stablecoin market cap.
"Surpassed 500 million transactions, a 7% rise in user adoption, uh, over 1.5 billion in TVL, uh, and yeah, and nearly $900 million in stable coin market cap as well."
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The TAO token has a supply cap of 21 million, similar to Bitcoin, and is expected to have its first halving event in January of the following year.
"There's 21 million TOAO like there are 21 million BTC. There's also a har there's also h avinging events. The first tow hing I believe is I I don't think it's till next year. Might be January next year."
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Fartcoin (Fcoin) has potential to reach $2, indicating speculative interest.
"It's got that sticking power up to $2 potentially speculative mine."
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Increased integration of XRP, particularly through RLUSD, has the potential to unlock significant liquidity due to XRP's substantial market cap.
"And of course, you know, if the the more integrated that XRP becomes, either, you know, whether it's especially via um via XRP, sorry, RLUSD, you know, that potentially unlocks so much liquidity because there is so much money tied up in in XRP's market cap."
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The XRP EVM sidechain is highlighted as a key development to watch for the XRP ecosystem.
"So, yeah, I think this EVM side chain uh is is definitely a development to watch for XRP."
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The speaker believes a traditional altcoin season is unlikely due to insufficient market liquidity, excess altcoins, and continued Bitcoin dominance.
"I just I I don't think there's the I don't think there's the overall liquidity. I don't think there's the overall interest in the market to pump everything. We've had this we've had many discussions about how there's just too many altcoins and I still believe that that is a stumbling block to you know to the sort of old-fashioned alt season that we all know and love or you know that we that we that we love. Certainly Bitcoin dominance is going to continue and stronger man."
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The market is expected to feature localized, hard-to-predict altcoin pumps rather than a broad altcoin season for the foreseeable future.
"I think we're going to see these localized pumps, it's going to be very hard to predict them, but I think that's it's important to know that, you know, I reckon that is how the market is going to play out for the foreseeable future, really."
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Alama Research transferred 1,000 Bitcoin to a new address, potentially indicating preparations for FTX institutional payouts.
"One was, for example, Alama Research. Remember them? Yeah. That That rings a bell. Rings a bell. They were big ones, weren't they? Yeah, they I think so. Yeah, the name the name rings a bell. Uh they transferred 1,000 Bitcoin to a new address."
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Pump.Fun transferred $18 million worth of SOL to Kraken.
"And uh, Pump. Fund sends $18 million of soul to Kraken."
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Deep Protocol, part of the SUI ecosystem, is benefiting from the overall growth of SUI after releasing version 3.1.
"It's a sooie ecosystem and it's a recent they recently released version 3.1. So it's again this uh sui ecosystem in general is popping off. So yeah yeah just seems to be benefiting from that."
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Virtual Protocol is likely benefiting from renewed hype surrounding AI and AI agents.
"So I think virtual protocol is benefiting from that."
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The price surge in Monero (XMR) is attributed to a hacker attempting to launder approximately $300 million worth of Bitcoin by purchasing XMR, leveraging its untraceable nature.
"And the hacker is attempting to launder all of this Bitcoin through exchanges by buying XMR which is of course Monero. And Monero is probably the premier priv privacy coin. It's untraceable."
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The recent price increase in XMR may be temporary, with a potential for it to come down quickly as the hacker exits their position.
"So, we'll see. Yes. So, I think with with XMR, it could be a case of what goes up will probably come down again fairly quickly."
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US Q1 GDP is forecast to be 0.4%, a significant decrease from the previous quarter's 2.4%.
"First one at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. We've got the Q1 US GDP numbers. This is very important. The previous one was 2.4% and this one we're expecting, the economists are expecting 0.4%."
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The US PCE inflation index is expected to decrease from 2.5% to 2.2%.
"Then on uh the same time at 10:00 a.m. we've got um same day we've got the PCE numbers. So this is the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures index. 2.5% previous, 2.2% expected."
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US initial jobless claims are expected to increase slightly from 222K to 226K.
"May 1st, 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. Initial jobless claims. 222K previous versus 226K expected."
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US non-farm payrolls are expected to significantly decrease from 228K to 130K.
"May 2nd, 8:30 a.m. EST, non-farm payrolls, 228K previous versus 130K expected."
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The Crescendo upgrade for the Casper network is a significant event to watch.
"The Crescendo upgrade. Well, okay. So, that's one to watch for Casper. Casper. Yeah, exactly."
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Bitcoin has a strong chance of reaching $100k this week if it closes above $95k, assuming no unexpected news like a Trump tweet.
"Do you think we're going to go above 100k? Will we be will we be wearing our 100k hats for next week's stream? This week I don't it will let's see if it closes above 95k? Strong chance to get there."
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Bitcoin is showing signs of decoupling from stocks and performing as a risk-off asset, outperforming other asset classes.
"And the decoupling. Now, many people are talking about this decoupling thesis... Bitcoin has performed much better than other asset classes in this risk-off sentiment."
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The correlation between Bitcoin and equities has fallen significantly to 33%, while its correlation with gold has risen to 76%.
"The correlation has fallen to 33%. So correlation with equities is down a lot. And then the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to 76%."
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Bitcoin's narrative as a hedge against political drama is gaining traction.
"Tanya Mikall say that Bitcoin's narrative as a hedge against political drama is gaining traction."
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Based on the data, Bitcoin is decoupling from equities, as evidenced by its increased correlation with gold and decreased correlation with stocks.
"And then the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to 76%. So if factor from the data there, that's decoupling. Now it's it's still only, you know, a week in, but so far it's looking good."
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The SUI ecosystem is experiencing significant growth, with TVL up 38% to $1.6 billion, DEX volume up 167%, and stablecoins growing by 82%.
"Sued's met ecosystem metrics are booming. The TVL up 38% uh to to 1.6 billion. We've also got DEX volume jumping 167%. Stable coins growing 82%."
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The SUI network has surpassed 500 million transactions, seen a 7% rise in user adoption, has over $1.5 billion in TVL, and nearly $900 million in stablecoin market cap.
"The network itself hit some fairly big milestones as well, surpassed 500 million transactions, a 7% rise in user adoption, over 1.5 billion in TVL, and yeah, and nearly $900 million in stable coin market cap as well."
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TENSOR (TAO) has a tokenomics schedule similar to Bitcoin, with a maximum supply of 21 million and a halving event expected in January of next year.
"There's 21 million TOAO like there are 21 million BTC. There's also a har there's also h havinging events. The first tow hing I believe is I I don't think it's till next year. Might be January next year."
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The XRP EVM sidechain is expected to launch and integrate with Ave due to Ave adding support for Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin, opening up more use cases.
"Now Ave has added support for Ripple's RLUSD stable coin and that's important because it's it's means the XRPL EVM side chain will soon be able to launch and integrate with Ave and uh obviously more use cases for the XRP EVM side chain."
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The recent price surge in Monero (XMR) is attributed to a hacker attempting to launder approximately $300 million in Bitcoin by purchasing XMR, a privacy coin.
"Apparently there was a massive massive Bitcoin hack according to Zack XBT of I believe about $300 million worth $300 million worth of the Bitcoin. Yeah. And the hacker is attempting to launder all of this Bitcoin through exchanges by buying XMR which is of course Monero."
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Altcoins are showing signs of life with ETF inflows surpassing zero and increasing significantly, indicating a potentially bullish trend.
"And then on Thursday and Friday, there was unfortunately a bit more uncertainty around the tariff front... So, we finally got past zero and now we're going up again. That is extremely bullish, I think. Yep. And it's over to over three billion over the week, which is great."
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The current altcoin market is not a traditional altcoin season, but rather a new paradigm of localized pumps in specific niches or altcoins, with the rest of the market remaining flat or declining.
"I got to say I don't think it is. And in fact, what I think we're seeing evidence of here is something that we've discussed on the show a few times before and I think for, you know, for my money is probably the new sort of market paradigm that we're in right now is that we're seeing certain altcoins, certain niches in some case outperform the rest of the market. the rest of the market stays pretty much flat or continues to go down and we get these rather short-lived localized pumps which I think will probably run out of steam fairly quickly."
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Fartcoin has surpassed a $1 billion market cap, benefiting from the AI hype and sentiment.
"it's now cracked the $1 billion market cap and the sentiment is very strong also around this broader AI shift or AI rally we've seen and FCcoin being one of the OG well OG in the perspective from an AI memecoin coming from the terminal of truths"
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The Q1 US GDP is expected to be 0.4%, a significant drop from the previous quarter's 2.4%.
"First one at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. We've got the Q1 US GDP numbers. This is very important. The previous one was 2.4% and this one we're expecting, the economists are expecting 0.4%."
Pending
The Fed's preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, is expected to be 2.2%, down from the previous 2.5%.
"And then on uh the same time at 10:00 a.m. we've got um same day we've got the PCE numbers. So this is the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures index. 2.5% previous, 2.2% expected."
Pending
Initial jobless claims are expected to be 226K, slightly up from the previous 222K.
"May 1st, 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. Initial jobless claims. 222K previous versus 226K expected."
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Non-farm payrolls are expected to be 130K, a significant decrease from the previous 228K.
"May 2nd, 8:30 a.m. EST, non-farm payrolls, 228K previous versus 130K expected."
Pending