Bitcoin's Supply Shock: Could It Send BTC to $200K?
Published: 2025-05-22
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-05-22
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
A Bitcoin supply crunch, caused by declining supply and increasing demand, could lead to a price spike.
"a supply crunch is when the supply of an asset starts to decline while the demand stays the same or even increases causing the price to spike"
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to experience a supply crunch in the coming months, potentially leading to a parabolic price increase, similar to silver in the 1980s.
"it looks like Bitcoin is on track to experience a supply crunch that could send its price parabolic in the coming months like silver in the 1980s"
Pending
The timing of a Bitcoin supply crunch is dependent on investors' willingness to hold (hodl) Bitcoin as its price rises.
"the answer to the former ultimately depends on how much investors are willing to huddle Bitcoin as its price continues to climb"
Pending
More investors are beginning to view Bitcoin as a safe haven asset, especially after its temporary decoupling from stocks.
"more and more are starting to see it as a safe haven particularly after it temporarily decoupled from stocks after the tariff kurfuffle"
Pending
A central bank announcing holdings of Bitcoin could occur in the coming months and would solidify its safe haven status.
"a central bank announcing that it's holding Bitcoin which could happen in the coming months"
Pending
A sustained period of Bitcoin decoupling from stocks, which could happen in the coming months, may also lead investors to view it as a safe haven asset.
"the catalyst that makes investors see Bitcoin as a safe haven asset could be as straightforward as Bitcoin decoupling from stocks for a sustained period of time something that could also happen again in the coming months"
Pending
The increasing shift of Bitcoin supply from 'weak hands' to 'diamond hands' makes a supply crunch inevitable due to decreasing liquid supply.
"the fact of the matter is that more and more of Bitcoin supply is flowing from the weak hands to the diamond hands and this means that there's less and less liquid Bitcoin and that means that a supply crunch is likely inevitable regardless of what happens in the coming months"
Pending
If Bitcoin follows silver's market cap trajectory during its supply squeeze, a $4 trillion market cap could result in a Bitcoin price of approximately $200,000.
"based on our research Silver's market cap was roughly $1 trillion in 2025 before it went parabolic meaning its market cap grew from 1 trillion to 4 trillion if we assume that Bitcoin follows silver in market cap then a $4 trillion market cap would translate to a Bitcoin price of somewhere around $200,000"
Pending
Bitcoin's price might peak around $180,000 as investors take profits before reaching the $200,000 psychological level.
"investors are likely to take profits ahead of 200K and that's just because it's another key psychological level meaning Bitcoin could top somewhere around 180K"
Pending
Large holders (whales) might push Bitcoin's price above $200,000 to attract investors anticipating prices over $300,000.
"conversely Wales could push Bitcoin's price above 200K to suck in investors looking for that 300K plus level"
Pending
Up to 1 million BTC could be wrapped on various chains in this cycle, potentially representing over $100 billion in collateral if Bitcoin's price exceeds $100,000.
"we estimated that we could see up to 1 million BTC wrapped on various chains in this cycle assuming a Bitcoin price of over $100,000 or more that could work out to a whopping $100 billion of BTC or more being used as collateral"
Pending
The borrowing of tens of billions of dollars in stable coins, potentially higher if Bitcoin is seen as a safe haven, could be invested into altcoins.
"this could translate into tens of billions of dollars of stable coins being borrowed and invested into altcoins notably both of these figures could be much higher if more investors start seeing Bitcoin as a safe haven asset"
Pending
If wrapped Bitcoin holders borrow stable coins and buy Ethereum (ETH), it would lead to an increase in ETH's price.
"if rap Bitcoin holders use their Bitcoin collateral to borrow stable coins and buy ETH this would cause ETH's price to rise"
Pending
Bitcoin might rally significantly more than expected in the current cycle due to a supply crunch, but experience smaller rallies in subsequent cycles because leverage demand may be limited and supply effects have been accelerated.
"bitcoin rallies way more than expected in this cycle because of the supply crunch and rallies less in the next cycle both because the same amounts of leverage demand won't be possible and because the supply effects were pulled forward"
Pending