How the SEC Could Trigger the Next Crypto Bull Run
Published: 2025-05-31
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-05-31
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Significant changes in SEC crypto regulations are expected, potentially leading to large inflows into crypto or a market crash similar to 1929.
"recent changes at the SEC foreshadow significant changes to US crypto regulations which could not only result in enormous inflows into crypto but could also bring about a 1929 style market crash"
Pending
The SEC is poised to lift most restrictions on crypto, enabling activities like airdrops, DeFi, and staking for US investors.
"it looks like the SEC is on the brink of lifting most of the restrictions on crypto allowing for everything from airdrops to DeFi to staking things that were all off limits to US investors under previous SEC chairs"
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The lifting of crypto restrictions by the SEC could lead to an unprecedented crypto boom, followed by a significant bust with historical financial implications.
"this could result in a crypto boom bigger than anyone could ever have imagined but the resulting bust could take us back to a very dark time in financial history"
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Under the new SEC leadership, cryptocurrencies may become virtually unregulated.
"it looks like crypto could be virtually unregulated under the SEC's new leadership"
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Statements indicate memecoins and NFTs are not considered securities, which is seen as positive for crypto regulation.
"we have multiple statements that memecoins and NFTs are not securities which Atkins considers to be as good as gold from a regulatory perspective"
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A temporary exemptive relief framework for blockchain innovation is being considered in the US.
"a time-limited conditional exemptive relief framework for registrants and non-registrants could allow for greater innovation with blockchain technology within the United States in the near term."
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The SEC is considering an exemption allowing the use of blockchain technology for issuing, trading, and settling securities.
"The SEC's crypto task force informed by a February request for comment is considering a potential exemptive order that would allow firms to use DT that is distributed ledger technology or blockchain to you and me to issue trade and settle securities"
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A potential exemption for tokenized securities could permit innovative trading systems, with DeFi specifically mentioned as being exempt.
"this potential conditional exemption from certain SEC registration requirements and associated rules would allow firms to use innovative trading systems for eligible tokenized securities and notably she specified that DeFi would be exempt"
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The SEC may create an exemption framework for crypto airdrops, preventing them from being classified as regulated offers or sales.
"the commission might establish an exemption framework so that certain distributions of crypto assets as part of an airdrop are not deemed offers or sales subject to registration"
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Crypto wallets may use airdrops for user retention and acquisition.
"we could see crypto wallets announcing airdrops as a means of retaining existing users and attracting new ones"
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The SEC may be able to implement new crypto regulations without Congressional approval.
"this could all be allowed without the need for Congress to approve new crypto regulations"
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Restrictions around DeFi are likely to be removed before the launch of Trump's DeFi project, World Liberty Financial.
"it's not far-fetched to assume that we'll see them remove most of the restrictions around DeFi prior to the launch of World Liberty Financial Trump's DeFi project"
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The SEC is expected to legalize the 'crypto wild west' in the US, prioritizing free markets, innovation, and 'the American spirit'.
"it appears that the new look SEC is on track to legalize the crypto's wild west in the US in the name of the free market in the name of innovation and in the name of quote the American spirit"
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The current trend towards crypto legalization may lead to short-term bullishness but a medium-to-long-term financial catastrophe.
"although this would be unbelievably bullish for crypto in the short term it could set the stage for a financial catastrophe in the medium to long term"
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Significant parallels exist between the 1920s stock market mania and the 2020s crypto market.
"there are many parallels between the stock market mania of the 1920s and the crypto market of the 2020s"
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The prevalence of pumps and dumps in the 2020s crypto market mirrors that of the 1920s stock market due to similar disclosure issues.
"in the 1920s pumps and dumps were common due to the lack of disclosures in the 2020s pumps and dumps are common in crypto for the same reasons"
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A key parallel between the 1920s and 2020s is the massive use of leverage in investing, with investors borrowing heavily against assets to buy more stocks or crypto.
"the most alarming parallel however is leverage during the 1920s investors borrowed massive amounts of money to buy stocks sometimes using their existing stock holdings as collateral in the 2020s we've seen individuals and institutions borrowing massive amounts of money to buy crypto sometimes using their existing crypto holdings as collateral"
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The SEC's potential loosening of rules will enable US individuals and institutions to utilize leverage within DeFi protocols.
"this would make it possible for individuals and institutions in the US to leverage DeFi protocols"
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Many major cryptocurrencies like BTC and XRP have limited programmability, restricting their use as collateral in DeFi.
"there are many large cryptos which could be leveraged as collateral in DeFi that are currently limited by their relative lack of programmability such as BTC XRP and others"
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The SEC is close to providing regulatory guidance or a temporary exemption for all crypto regulations.
"the SEC appears to be on the brink of giving this guidance if not a temporary exemption to all regulations"
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Tens to hundreds of billions of dollars could be borrowed against crypto collateral.
"this could result in tens possibly hundreds of billions of dollars being borrowed using crypto as collateral"
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A massive crypto price surge (meltup) is predicted, followed by a sharp decline (meltdown) due to mass liquidations.
"the result could be the exact same thing a massive meltup in crypto prices followed by a meltdown when someone starts selling and collateral starts being liquidated left and right"
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The potential crypto debt bubble could be up to 40 times larger than the historical stock debt bubble.
"the crypto debt bubble could theoretically be 40x larger than the stock debt bubble"
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The total value locked in DeFi lending protocols is predicted to increase exponentially.
"total value locked in DeFi lending protocols is about to go parabolic"
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A significant surge in DeFi activity, including borrowing, is anticipated.
"we are about to see a massive breakout in DeFi activity and that includes borrowing"
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The upcoming crypto rally and subsequent crash are expected to be of historic magnitude.
"the rally will likely be of historic proportions but the crash likely will be as well"
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