Ripple's Big Moves: Can XRP Hit $5 This Month?
Published: 2025-06-12
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-06-12
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
XRP price could reach $5 based on a projected market cap of $300 billion.
"And this would translate to an XRP price of around $5, which is the same price target we noted in our previous video."
Pending
XRP price might experience volatility around the $5 mark, potentially topping out at $4.5 due to profit-taking, or being pushed by 'whales' to $6 or $7.
"And this could create lots of volatility around the $5 level. On the one hand, it could result in XRP topping out around $4.5 as traders and long-term holders take profit just before the $5 level to try and get out before most other investors. On the other hand, it could result in XRP Wales purposely pushing its price above $5 say to $6 or $7."
Pending
The most likely scenario for XRP's price is a push above $5 to $6 or $7, driven by increased crypto-native liquidity allowing whales to borrow stablecoins against XRP and buy more.
"We suspect that this second scenario is the most likely due to all the additional cryptonative liquidity that's going to be coming into XRP's ecosystem And this will make it very easy for XRP whales to borrow stable coins against their XRP to buy more XRP pushing its price even higher."
Pending
XRP's price might experience a prolonged topping pattern, fluctuating between $4 and $6 for an extended period.
"And this suggests that XRP could have a prolonged topping pattern rather than a parabolic blowoff top with XRP's price chopping between $4 to $6 for weeks, maybe even longer."
Pending
Bloomberg ETF analysts estimate an 85% chance of a spot XRP ETF approval by October of this year, potentially bringing billions in inflows.
"According to those affforementioned Bloomberg ETF analysts the final deadline for most altcoin ETFs including those of XRP is October this year and they could bring billions of dollars of inflows into altcoins."
Pending
Ripple aims to make RLUSD a top five stablecoin by market cap, which could lead to a decline in XRP sales as Ripple earns more from stablecoin reserves.
"Ripple's goal is to turn RLUSD into a top five stable coin by market cap and that Ripple's sales of XRP could decline as it earns more revenue from reserves on its stable coin."
Pending
Ripple plans to make more acquisitions to boost RLUSD adoption, likely financed by selling XRP.
"Ripple President Monica Long confirmed in an interview that they're planning on making more large acquisitions like Hidden Road to further increase RLUSD's adoption And uh chances are that these purchases will be financed primarily from Ripple selling XRP."
Pending
XRP supply has increased by approximately 800 million since March, potentially indicating over $1.5 billion in XRP sales.
"XRP supply has grown by roughly 800 million since March, assuming an average price of around $2 per XRP during this period And that means that more than $1.5 billion of XRP could have been sold."
Pending
RLUSD, as a newer stablecoin, is vulnerable to competition from stablecoins issued by large banks, potentially shrinking its market share after US stablecoin regulations are passed.
"It goes without saying that stable coins issued by mega banks could eat into the market share of cryptonative stable coins As a newer and smaller stable coin RLUSD is especially vulnerable to this competition And this means that its dominance could shrink rather than grow after stable coin regulations are passed in the US."
Pending
Ripple might pursue an IPO to raise capital, potentially reducing the need to sell XRP.
"Alternatively Ripple could IPO which would allow the company to raise lots of capital without having to sell much if any XRP."
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Former President Trump announced that XRP would be part of a US government digital asset stockpile composed of seized cryptocurrencies.
"Trump announced that XRP would be one of the cryptos included in this stockpile, which will consist primarily of cryptos that were seized by US law enforcement."
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Despite being launched nearly 13 years ago, the XRP Ledger continues to have bugs and technical issues discovered by developers.
"The XRP ledger itself launched almost 13 years ago and developers are still finding bugs and technical issues."
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Bugs and outages in the XRP Ledger may hinder its adoption.
"bugs and outages suggest additional adoption could be limited."
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The new XRPL EVM side chain, upon launch, will not be sufficiently battle-tested for institutions to confidently use it for large asset transactions.
"Fortunately, the XRPLE EVM side chain will help. Unfortunately, it will be a brand new when it launches, meaning it won't be a battle tested enough for institutions to feel comfortable issuing or depositing large amounts of assets on its chain in size."
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Ripple will face significant competition from institutional players like asset managers and mega banks entering the crypto space due to improved regulations.
"On Ripple's side, the biggest headwind to adoption will be Trafier institutions like asset managers and mega banks getting more involved in crypto thanks to better crypto regulations Ripple will face intense competition from these entities."
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XRP faces an adoption challenge due to a significant disparity between the millions of holders and the tens of thousands of active users.
"On XRP's side, the biggest headwind to adoption is the enormous gap between holders and users Onchain analysis suggests that there are millions of holders but just tens of thousands of users."
Pending
A significant risk for XRP involves large amounts of on-chain borrowing using XRP as collateral.
"Then when it comes to the onchain leverage component, this includes everything I've been talking about in this entire video and that's the large amounts of borrowing we're likely to see using XRP as collateral."
Pending
XRP's lower on-chain liquidity compared to other major cryptocurrencies makes it more vulnerable to DeFi liquidations during market downturns.
"The difference is that XRP is unlikely to have the same amount of onchain liquidity as these other cryptos And this means that XRP would be more vulnerable to DeFi liquidations compared to other large cap cryptos when there is a downturn."
Pending
A combination of forced selling by publicly traded companies during a bear market and DeFi liquidations could lead to a massive XRP price crash.
"Combine this with the possibility that publicly traded companies will be forced to sell their XRP in a bare market and you have a recipe for a massive liquidation event that could take it to unprecedented lows."
Pending
The XRP EVM side chain mainnet launch or announcement is expected by the end of June, potentially at the ETHCC conference in Paris.
"comments made by Garlinghouse and multiple posts on X suggest that it could happen or at least be announced later this month at the ETHCC conference in Paris."
Pending
The final decision deadline for most altcoin ETFs, including XRP, is October of this year.
"According to those affforementioned Bloomberg ETF analysts the final deadline for most altcoin ETFs including those of XRP is October this year."
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Key upcoming milestones for XRP Ledger include the implementation of smart contracts and automated market makers.
"Two additional milestones can be found on the XRPL website and these are the implementation of smart contracts and automated market makers."
Pending
The limited smart contract functionality of XRP Ledger could lead to RLUSD replacing XRP in many of Ripple's use cases, especially for tokenized RWAs and stablecoins.
"This is good for stuff like crossber payments as it keeps costs low and congestion low but it's bad for stuff like tokenized RWAs and other such use cases And this includes stable coins Hence why most of RLUSD's supply is on Ethereum and why the second largest chain for RLUSD will be the XRPL EVM after it launches. In case it wasn't clear enough, Ripple is focused on growing its stable coin as much as possible And this is unfortunately bad news for XRP as RLUSD could replace it in many of Ripple's use cases."
Pending
Ripple's strategy involves increasing RLUSD revenue, aiming for it to become a top five stablecoin, which could reduce Ripple's reliance on XRP sales.
"Brad Golinos effectively confirmed this in an interview earlier this year. He specified that Ripple's goal is to turn RLUSD into a top five stable coin by market cap and that Ripple's sales of XRP could decline as it earns more revenue from reserves on its stable coin."
Pending
There is a possibility that XRP may not be included in the US government's digital asset stockpile due to reports of a lobbyist influencing its initial announcement and former President Trump's subsequent anger.
"There's just one problem and that's the fact that a recent Politico report claims that a lobbyist with connections to Ripple was the one who pushed Trump to make this announcement and that when Trump found out about this he was furious And this means it's possible that XRP won't be included as part of this digital asset stockpile either because Trump doesn't want it to be or because it was never going to be."
Pending
Ongoing bugs and technical issues in the XRP Ledger may deter institutional investors from using it for use cases like tokenized Real World Assets (RWAs).
"Even so this is probably not inspiring confidence among institutional investors that are interested in using the XRP ledger for things like tokenized RWA."
Pending
Off-chain leverage, such as publicly traded companies borrowing to buy XRP, poses a short-term price boost but risks a significant price crash if these companies are forced to sell during a bear market.
"Off-chain leverage includes stuff like publicly traded companies borrowing hundreds of millions of dollars to buy XRP And once again this will be huge for XRP's price in the short term But if these companies become forced sellers during the bare market it could tank XRP's price as a result."
Pending