ilmscore | Altcoin ETFs Are Launching: Top Signal or Just The Start?

Altcoin ETFs Are Launching: Top Signal or Just The Start?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 36
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 26
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
XRP ETF has a 95% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"You'll recall that Salana, XRP, and Litecoin now sit at 95% approval chances by year end."
XRP
Pending
Solana ETF has a 95% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"You'll recall that Salana, XRP, and Litecoin now sit at 95% approval chances by year end."
SOL
Pending
Litecoin ETF has a 95% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"You'll recall that Salana, XRP, and Litecoin now sit at 95% approval chances by year end."
LTC
Pending
Dogecoin ETF has a 90% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hideera, and Avalanche are at 90%."
DOGE
Pending
Cardano ETF has a 90% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hideera, and Avalanche are at 90%."
ADA
Pending
Polkadot ETF has a 90% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hideera, and Avalanche are at 90%."
DOT
Pending
Hedera ETF has a 90% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hideera, and Avalanche are at 90%."
HBAR
Pending
Avalanche ETF has a 90% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
"Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hideera, and Avalanche are at 90%."
AVAX
Pending
Solana ETF approvals could come sooner than the original October deadlines.
"According to sources familiar with the matter, this suggests approvals could come much faster than the original October deadlines that have been floating around."
SOL
Pending
Bloomberg ETF analysts predict a 95% approval chance for Solana, XRP, and Litecoin ETFs.
"Now, we have Bloomberg ETF analysts putting 95% approval odds on not just Soul, but XRP and Litecoin, too."
SOL
Pending
The SEC is signaling openness to Ethereum staking ETFs, which could lead to significant control of proof-of-stake networks by asset managers.
"As more staking ETFs launch, and the SEC has signaled openness to Ethereum staking as well, we could see meaningful portions of proof ofstake networks controlled by a handful of asset managers."
ETH
Pending
The Rex Osprey Solana staking ETF (SSK) launched on July 2nd, marking the first US ETF to offer staking rewards.
"Rex Osprey's Salana staking ETF launched on July 2nd, becoming America's first exchange traded fund that actually pays you to hold crypto in the form of staking rewards."
SSK
Pending
A wave of new ETFs are expected in the second half of 2025, with XRP, Solana, and Litecoin products anticipated to be approved before year-end.
"Safe is expecting quote a wave of new ETFs in the second half of 2025 and predicts that spot XRP, Salana, and Litecoin products would be green lit before year end."
New ETF Wave
Pending
The SEC is exploring a simplified and automated process for crypto ETF approvals.
"the SEC is reportedly exploring a simplified listing structure for crypto ETFs that would automate much of the approval process."
Simplified Crypto ETF Listing Structure
Pending
Canary Capital filed for the Canary Penu NFT ETF, which would hold Pangu tokens and Pudgy Penguin NFTs.
"On March 20th, Canary Capital filed an S1 form with the SEC for the Canary Penu NFT, a fund designed to hold both Pangu tokens and Pudgy Penguin NFTs."
PENU
Pending
The Canary Penu NFT ETF will allocate 80-95% to Pangu tokens and 5-15% to Pudgy Penguin NFTs, with additional Solana and Ethereum.
"The allocation 80 to 95% Pangu tokens and 5 to 15% Pudgy Penguin NFTs with some Soul and ETH thrown in for good measure."
PENU
Pending
A new system could allow ETFs to be listed automatically after 75 days if the SEC does not object, bypassing traditional application filings.
"Under the proposed system, ETF issuers could potentially sidestep 19B4 application filings entirely. Instead, they just need to submit an SEC form S1 and wait 75 days. If the SEC doesn't object, the ETF gets listed automatically. And this would eliminate much of the back and forth between fund managers and regulators that currently creates these bottlenecks. It's essentially an approval by default system."
ETF Approval by Default System
Pending
Solana ETF approvals could come sooner than previously anticipated October deadlines.
"According to sources familiar with the matter, this suggests approvals could come much faster than the original October deadlines that have been floating around."
SOL
Pending
The altcoin ETF gold rush is a significant and ongoing trend.
"So, where does this leave us? Well, the altcoin ETF gold rush is very real."
Altcoin ETF Gold Rush
Pending
The SEC approved Grayscale's conversion of its Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) into a spot ETF on July 1st, the first multi-asset crypto ETF in the US.
"On July 1st, the SEC approved Gayscale's conversion of its digital large cap fund into a spot ETF, the first multi-asset crypto ETF in American history."
GDLC
Pending
Regulated access to crypto through ETFs is expected to drive adoption and legitimize crypto assets, benefiting the ecosystem.
"The optimistic view is that regulated access will drive adoption, legitimize crypto assets, and ultimately benefit the entire ecosystem."
Institutional Crypto Adoption
Pending
The regulatory environment is shifting towards approval by default, with 'catastrophic' events being the primary hurdle for denial.
"When regulators are defaulting to yes, unless something is obviously catastrophic, the bar for catastrophic becomes the only meaningful filter."
Regulators Defaulting to Yes
Correct
By the end of 2025, Solana, XRP, and Litecoin ETFs have a 95% approval chance, while Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hedera, and Avalanche ETFs have a 90% chance.
"You'll recall that Salana, XRP, and Litecoin now sit at 95% approval chances by year end. Well, Dogecoin, Cardano, Polka Dot, Hideera, and Avalanche are at 90%."
Altcoin ETF Approval Odds by Year End
Incorrect
The future of institutional crypto adoption will reveal whether it represents genuine financial innovation or a speculative bubble.
"We about to find out whether institutional crypto adoption looks like sophisticated financial innovation or just another Wall Street bubble machine applied to a different asset class."
Future of Institutional Crypto Adoption
Pending
The SEC is reportedly exploring a simplified listing structure for crypto ETFs to automate the approval process.
"the SEC is reportedly exploring a simplified listing structure for crypto ETFs that would automate much of the approval process."
New ETF Listing Structure Exploration
Correct
The second half of 2025 is predicted to be very interesting due to anticipated ETF approvals, especially for altcoins with high odds.
"If Bloomberg's analysts are right about those 95% approval odds, the second half of 2025 is going to be very interesting indeed."
Second Half of 2025 ETF Activity
Correct
Under a proposed simplified ETF listing structure, issuers would submit an S1 form and ETFs could be listed automatically after 75 days without SEC objection.
"Instead, they just need to submit an SEC form S1 and wait 75 days. If the SEC doesn't object, the ETF gets listed automatically."
Automated ETF Approval Process Timeline
Pending
Trump Media and Technology Group has filed three crypto ETF applications, including the Truth Social Crypto Bluehip ETF.
"Trump Media and Technology Group, the parent company of Truth Social, has filed not one, not two, but three separate crypto ETF applications. The latest filed recently is called the Truth Social Crypto Bluehip ETF."
Trump Media ETF Filings
Incorrect
The Truth Social Crypto Bluehip ETF will allocate 70% to BTC, 15% to ETH, 8% to SOL, 5% to KRONOS (Crypto.com token), and 2% to XRP.
"The allocation 70% BTC, 15% ETH, 8% Soul, 5% Kronos, that's the Crypto.com exchange token, and 2% to XRP."
Truth Social Crypto Bluehip ETF Allocation
Incorrect
Bloomberg analyst Eric Balcunis is skeptical that Trump Media ETFs will gather significant assets compared to major ETFs like IBET and IBIT/FBTC.
"Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balcunis was skeptical. quote, "Despite Trump's brand, these will likely be microscopic in asset gathering compared to IBET, FBTCL.""
Bloomberg Analyst Skepticism on Trump Media ETFs
Correct
The proliferation of staking ETFs, including potential Ethereum staking ETFs, could lead to a significant portion of proof-of-stake networks being controlled by a few asset managers.
"As more staking ETFs launch, and the SEC has signaled openness to Ethereum staking as well, we could see meaningful portions of proof ofstake networks controlled by a handful of asset managers."
Future of Proof-of-Stake Networks Control
Correct
Bloomberg analysts' cited 95% approval odds for major altcoin ETFs indicate a rapid shift in the regulatory environment from hostility to capture.
"The approval odds that Bloomberg analysts are citing, 95% for major altcoins, reflect a regulatory environment that has swung from hostility to capture in record time."
Approval Odds for Major Altcoin ETFs
Incorrect
The influx of institutional money into crypto via regulated channels is debated as either genuine adoption and ecosystem benefit, or crypto's surrender to the traditional financial system.
"The optimistic view is that regulated access will drive adoption, legitimize crypto assets, and ultimately benefit the entire ecosystem. More money flowing into crypto, even through institutionalized channels, should theoretically benefit all holders. The pessimistic view, though, is that we're watching crypto's final surrender to the traditional financial system."
Institutional Crypto Adoption vs. Domesticated Crypto
Pending
The current regulatory environment suggests a 'default to yes' approach for crypto ETFs, where the only meaningful filter for rejection is a clearly catastrophic outcome.
"When regulators are defaulting to yes, unless something is obviously catastrophic, the bar for catastrophic becomes the only meaningful filter."
Crypto ETF Approval Default to Yes
Correct
It remains to be seen if institutional crypto adoption will represent sophisticated financial innovation or simply a replay of past Wall Street bubble dynamics.
"We about to find out whether institutional crypto adoption looks like sophisticated financial innovation or just another Wall Street bubble machine applied to a different asset class."
Future of Institutional Crypto Adoption
Pending
The second half of 2025 is anticipated to be eventful for crypto ETFs, with potential approvals aligning with high odds cited by Bloomberg analysts.
"Keep your eyes on those October deadlines, though. If Bloomberg's analysts are right about those 95% approval odds, the second half of 2025 is going to be very interesting indeed."
Second Half of 2025 ETF Approvals
Pending