Published: 2025-08-31
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin is predicted to top between August and October of the current year (2025), based on the April 2024 halving.
"Historically speaking, Bitcoin would top roughly 16 to 18 months after the hing. Now, for context, the most recent Bitcoin hing took place in April 2024. So 16 to 18 months later, puts us in August to October this year."
Incorrect
Bitcoin is predicted to bottom between September and October of next year (2026), assuming a September/October 2025 top.
"Historically speaking, Bitcoin tends to bottom around 1 year after it tops and the rest of the crypto market tends to bottom with Bitcoin. Assuming Bitcoin tops around September October this year, this means it's likely to bottom in September to October sometime next year."
Pending
Bitcoin's bottom in the next bear market is predicted to be around $70,000, with a $10,000 margin of error.
"Bitcoin's bottom in the next bare market is likely to be somewhere around 70K plus or minus 10K."
Pending
Most altcoins are predicted to fall by 90% to 95% from their cycle highs during a bear market.
"For what it's worth, most altcoins will fall by 90 to 95% from their cycle highs."
Correct
The downfall of a systemically important stablecoin issuer is predicted to lead to record lows in crypto sentiment and present a significant buying opportunity.
"Something along these lines would be guaranteed to result in record lows in crypto sentiment and it would present a generational opportunity to anyone who has the stomach to take advantage of it."
Pending
A potential bearish catalyst for the crypto market is the Treasury Department mandating KYC for all stablecoin on-chain activities, with the comment period ending mid-October 2025.
"One example could be the Treasury Department requiring that all onchain activities involving stable coins mandate KYC, something that's currently being considered. The comment period for the rule is until mid-october 2025."
Incorrect
A potential bearish catalyst for the crypto market is the US imposing tariffs on China after the current pause expires in early November.
"Another example could be the US imposing tariffs on China after the current 90-day pause expires in early November."
Incorrect
Escalation between China and Taiwan is suggested as a potential bearish catalyst for the crypto market around early November.
"Similarly escalation between China and Taiwan could occur around that time, which is something that we pointed out in our video about why the crypto market crashes."
Incorrect
It is predicted that at some point, crypto's leverage will reach a level causing significant systemic risk to the market and potentially other markets.
"At some stage, crypto will have a bull market where the amount of leverage reaches a level that causes serious system risk to the market when it inevitably unwinds, possibly even other markets."
Correct
A severe crypto market collapse is predicted to trigger intervention from authorities, possibly through money printing or regulation.
"Make no mistake, a collapse of the scale would likely result in intervention by authorities, whether it's money printing or regulation or something else."
Correct
Future crypto cycles are predicted to be different due to regulation that will restrict surviving projects and companies.
"Yes, any money printing would be bullish for crypto in the long term, but the regulation would restrict the crypto projects and companies that survive into the next cycle. The market would look very different the next time the bulls come around."
Correct
A potential catalyst for the end of the 2025 crypto bull market could be a Treasury Department requirement for KYC on all stablecoin on-chain activities, with a comment period ending in mid-October 2025.
"The comment period for the rule is until mid-occtober 2025."
Incorrect
The most probable outcome following the current crypto bull market is a standard, 'garden variety' bear market.
"On a balance of probabilities a standard garden variety bare market is what comes next after this bull market."
Correct