ilmscore | Crypto Market Analysis: Bitcoin Whales, WLFI Launch & September Trends Explained

Predictions from this Video

Total: 31
Correct: 7
Incorrect: 14
Pending: 9
Unrated: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin could fall to $105.4K, and if it loses that support level, it may test $100K.
"If we if we go down to 105.4K or thereabouts and we lose that, that's when we could legitimately start asking is is 100K is 100K and that's a big support level big."
BTC
Incorrect
Historically, September has been Bitcoin's worst performing month, with an average drop of 3.77% and occurring in 8 out of the last 12 years.
"Bitcoin, it's historically been Bitcoin's worst month in terms of negative. It's about 3.77% on average drop and eight out of the past 12 September have been red September in Bitcoin."
BTC
Correct
Bitcoin ETFs have recently seen positive inflows after a period of outflows.
"Bitcoin ETFs just flipped positive again for inflows. They they'd seen some they'd seen some outflows."
BTC
Incorrect
The Pi Cycle Top indicator, historically accurate in marking Bitcoin bull market cycle tops, suggests the current cycle top has not yet been reached.
"This is another really interesting in it's a very reliable indicator specifically for Bitcoin. Now it again uses moving averages. Um, and I won't bore you with those details, but basically it has been incredibly accurate over the past three cycles, bull market cycles, 2013, 2017, 2021. Whenever the faster moving average has crossed over the slower moving average, it has marked the cycle top, right? And so far, we're still very far from any of the slower moving the faster moving average moving over the slower. So, that's a good sign."
BTC
Incorrect
The World Liberty Financial (WLFI) token has officially launched for trading.
"Uh the World Liberty Financial Token, WLFI, has gone live for trading today. It went live about an hour and 20 minutes ago, I think."
WLFI
Correct
WLFI has a maximum supply of 100 billion tokens, with a circulating supply of approximately 25 billion. The project raised $550 million in pre-sales.
"in terms of tokconomics uh the token utility there's a 100 billion max supply circulating supply is about 25 billion they raised 550 million in pre-sales"
WLFI
Pending
Justin Sun invested $75 million in WLFI tokens, reportedly closing out the private sale.
"and guess who invested 75 million now let me think who was ... His excellency himself did spend 75 million to buy this token."
WLFI
Pending
Alt 5 Sigma Corp., a company associated with World Liberty Financial, plans to raise capital to purchase $1.5 billion worth of WLFI tokens.
"World Liberty Financial has just that. Damn straight. So basically, this is a project. This is the company called Alt 5 Sigma Corp. which is going to uh raise capital to buy $1.5 billion worth of World Liberty tokens."
WLFI
Incorrect
Limited initial supply (5% of circulating) and the launch of USD1, along with token utility, are expected to positively impact WLFI's price.
"it's got only 5% of the circulating supply at launch so supply is scarce bigger impact on the price uh and also there's USD1 launch you know they the massive distribution they want to do this do with this and also the utility that comes from the token"
WLFI
Incorrect
Kronos (CRO) experienced a significant parabolic rise last week, linked to a $6 billion treasury vehicle reportedly connected to the Trump family.
"this went absolutely parabolic last week and once again the Trump family was involved. Believe it or not, Nick, believe it or not. Yes. Um a $6 billion uh CRO Treasury vehicle."
CRO
Incorrect
The US Department of Commerce will publish economic data on-chain using Pith Network and Chainlink as oracle partners to bridge real-world data to blockchains.
"the commerce department is literally going to publish economic data think jobs numbers PC we talked about the PC onchain and they using their Oracle partners because it's Oracle bridges on world real world data to blockchains they're using chain link and PF network"
PITH
Incorrect
Pith Network, due to its smaller market cap and limited supply, saw a 100% price increase in a single day following news of its integration with the US Department of Commerce.
"both pumped a lot but obviously because Perth networks a much you know smaller market cap and limited supply it went parabolic man what are we talking like 100% % in the day. It was about 100%."
PITH
Pending
Story Protocol's recent price pump is attributed to an $82 million token buyback.
"an $82 million token buyback was probably the reason for this, um, for this particular pump."
STOR
Incorrect
Buildon B.AI, set to be the first USD1 launchpad, likely experienced a price increase due to the hype surrounding the WLFI token launch.
"Buildon B. I I've personally haven't heard of it before. Uh but it's going to be the first USD1 launchpad – and it likely pumped off the hype around the WLFI token launch."
WLFI
Pending
Pump.fun's price surge last week is attributed to a $62 million buyback.
"Pump.fun. Um again, uh a buyback seems to have been the reason why Pump uh pumped last week. A $62 million buyback in fact."
PUMP
Pending
Bitcoin is currently in an uptrend with consistent higher highs and higher lows, and it is reacting positively at a previous resistance level that has now become support.
"We are in an uptrend. There's higher highs and higher lows continuously happening, right? And we are now at the previous support/resistance, right? So, this was resistance. This was resistance. This was resistance. It busted up through there. And now it came down. And we're getting a reaction from that area, which is good. That's what you want to see."
BTC
Incorrect
A weekly close below the previous low would be a bearish signal for Bitcoin; otherwise, the uptrend is expected to continue.
"And the only way or the only way how I'm going to actually get bearish is if we actually fall underneath this previous low. So, we had the low, the high, the higher low, the higher high and we could make, you know, a higher low or we could make an equal low and then continue moving on upward and things will be absolutely fine. If Bitcoin closes the weekly underneath here though, then that will be cause for concern."
BTC
Incorrect
Potential entry points for Pith Network (PITH) are identified at the 61.8% golden ratio around $0.1577 and the 'origin of the move' area.
"And there's two areas that I would want to get in if I want to get into Pith which would be the 61.8 8 golden ratio right around 0.1577 and then underneath there we have this which is called the origin of the move and basically this is where the move started and this is typically where a lot of the price tends to come back down to. So one of these two areas is where I would want to get into pith."
PITH
Pending
Pith Network faces significant resistance in the area that previously acted as both resistance and support, which could hinder upward price movement.
"I'd be a little concerned because if we look on the higher time frame, you could see that this whole entire area was a really big uh big resistance. You know, huge resistance here, big support here, and now it's a huge resistance again. So, I think it's going to have some trouble uh going up above here."
PITH
Pending
Cronos (CRO) is a potential buy at around $0.16, where a bullish order block aligns with the 61.8% golden ratio.
"And so once again, if crow comes back down to what we call the origin, well, not this is not really the origin of the move, but this is what we call a bullish order block. Um, I would want to get in here because it lines up with that golden ratio, the 61.8. my favorite indicator to be honest at around 16 cents."
CRO
Incorrect
An entry point for Story Protocol is desired in the lower price range, with a stop-loss placed below recent lows.
"And I would love to get in to story protocol somewhere down here. I'll put my stop underneath these lows because I really don't think that it's going to fall underneath here."
STOR
Pending
The speaker expresses enthusiasm for Pith Network, linking it to a desire for Bitcoin. This implies a belief in Pith's future utility and potential.
"I'm dying for a pith. An absolute pith take. I love it. Taking the pith. Yeah. Um Chroma, I like this. I love Bitcoin."
PITH
Unrated
Altcoins are expected to underperform Bitcoin even more significantly during a bearish September due to their high beta nature.
"And also so much more so for altcoins, right? Cuz altcoins are high beta bets on Bitcoin. So if Bitcoin is going to fall in a September, altcoins will fall even more."
September Crypto Performance
Correct
A potential Federal Reserve rate cut is a key factor that could lead to a positive September for crypto markets.
"The first thing we need to talk about is one that's been on everyone's lips um at least until everyone started talking about World Liberty Financial and that is the prospect of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve."
Factors for Green September
Incorrect
The market estimates a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.
"It's pretty much guaranteed in terms of probabilities 90% or so that the market thinks we're going to have a rate cut in September."
Fed Rate Cut Probability
Correct
Crypto ETFs are expected to absorb selling pressure from whales, mitigating the impact on Bitcoin prices.
"this cycle, the institutional presence this cycle is with crypto ETFs, they'll absorb potentially absorb a lot of the selling pressure that you could that you could have from these whales who are coming out now and selling some of the OG the OG Bitcoin."
Institutional Investment Impact
Correct
Digital asset treasury companies are becoming significant buyers of Bitcoin, acting as a new supply sink.
"corporate buys, digital asset treasury companies. They are the new supply sync for Bitcoin. They've just been accumulating obviously strategy, but all these others that are coming out that are now buying."
Digital Asset Treasury Companies
Correct
A golden cross on the ratio chart of altcoin market cap (excluding top 10) to Bitcoin market cap (50-day MA crossing 200-day MA) signals a potential for altcoin season.
"this is the ratio of the others. Now, for those who don't know, the others is the total market cap of all the altcoins that are outside of the top 10. And this is the ratio of that market cap to the Bitcoin market cap. And uh you can see on this chart that we have had a golden cross, a golden cross. So this is essentially when the 50-day moving average has crossed over the 50 the 200 day moving average"
Altcoin Season Indicator
Correct
Non-farm payrolls data is expected to be 75,000, with the previous figure at 73,000.
"September 5th non-farm payrolls economic data 75K expected and 73K previous."
Non-Farm Payrolls Data
Incorrect
Donald Trump is expected to appoint an 'Uber Dove' Fed governor in May of the following year, potentially replacing Lisa Cook and adding Steven Moran to the Fed board, which is seen as positive for crypto investments.
"Trump is going to get his choice of Fed governor in May next year. He's going to choose an Uber Dove. He's firing he's trying to get rid of the current Fed governor Lisa Cook so he can insert someone else to exert control over the board. And we've also got Steven Moran coming in who is his economic adviser as another Fed board."
Fed Governor Appointment
Incorrect
Altcoin season is anticipated to begin after the Fed's first rate cut in September, with additional positive catalysts including economic data releases and Donald Trump's potential appointment of a dovish Fed governor, which could favor crypto investments.
"I think that uh let's get past the Fed e let's get past the first rate cut in September. Let's see what happens with the economic data. Let's not also forget when you talk about liquidity and the Fed that uh Trump is going to get his choice of Fed governor in May next year. He's going to choose an Uber Dove. He's firing he's trying to get rid of the current Fed governor Lisa Cook so he can insert someone else to exert control over the board. And we've also got Steven Moran coming in who is his economic adviser as another Fed board. Trump is literally it's not good for Fed independence, but it's good for our bags if he's going to be an Uber dove, right?"
Altcoin Season Trigger
Pending