ilmscore | The System Is Cracking... Crypto Might Be the Only Way Out

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 1
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The soft landing and 'inflation reloaded' scenarios over the next 18-24 months are predicted to strengthen the case for Bitcoin and crypto, potentially leading to significant rallies.
"So looking ahead, a few different scenarios could play out over the next 18 to 24 months. Scenario one is the soft landing... In the first and third scenario, the case for crypto strengthens. We're already seeing crypto rally in the Goldilock scenario, and the inflation scenario would take this rally into overdrive."
BTC
Incorrect
G20 inflation is predicted to remain above central bank targets until at least 2026.
"According to the latest OECD data, G20 inflation is still running at 3.8% and won't drop to central bank targets until at least 2026."
Global Inflation
Pending
The US Federal Reserve implemented the fastest interest rate hiking cycle in 40 years, moving from 0% to 5.5% within 18 months.
"The Fed hiked rates from 0% to 5.5% in just 18 months, the fastest tightening cycle in 40 years."
US Monetary Policy
Correct
China's manufacturing capacity in solar panels (70%), EVs (60%), and batteries (75%) significantly exceeds its domestic demand.
"China now produces far more than its domestic market can absorb. They make 70% of the world's solar panels, 60% of its EVs, and 75% of batteries."
China's Economy
Pending
Changing weather patterns due to climate change (climate flation) are predicted to cause persistent inflation in food prices globally.
"First, climate flation. Inflation from changing weather. Droughts destroy crops. Floods wreck supply chains. Heat waves massacre livestock. And all of this causes food prices to moon."
Global Inflation Drivers
Correct
The energy transition and the demand for renewable energy materials (copper, lithium, cobalt, rare earths) will create inflationary pressures (greenflation).
"Second, greenflation. Inflation from the energy transition. Building renewable infrastructure requires massive amounts of copper, lithium, cobalt, and rare earths. Demand for these materials is exploding while supply remains constrained, making the path to net zero an inflationary one."
Global Inflation Drivers
Correct
Reduced investment in oil and gas, coupled with geopolitical shocks, will lead to energy price spikes (fossil flation) due to constrained supply.
"Third, fossil flation. As investment in oil and gas declines, traditional energy supply becomes more constrained. Any geopolitical shock like Ukraine sends prices soaring because there's no spare capacity."
Global Inflation Drivers
Correct
A loss of the US dollar's reserve currency status would lead to higher import prices, increased interest rates, and significant challenges for the Federal Reserve.
"If the dollar loses reserve currency status, then America loses its ability to export inflation. Import prices would sore, interest rates would spike, and the Fed would face an impossible choice between defending the currency or supporting the economy."
US Dollar Status
Correct
The global economy is transitioning from a synchronized state (2000-2020) to an era of permanent fragmentation, where individual countries and markets will diverge, straining the global financial system.
"The synchronized global economy of 2000 to 2020 is gone. We're entering an era of permanent fragmentation where every country and market follows its own path placing immense stress on the existing global financial system."
Global Economic Structure
Correct