Q4 Crypto Surge Incoming? Why This Quarter Could Be Historic

"Bitcoin's Q4 return in 2013 was almost 500%. In 2017, it was over 200%. And in 2020, it was almost 200%."

"For Ethereum, its Q4 return was almost 150% in 2017 and it was over 100% in 2020."

"Bitcoin dominance tends to get one big final spike higher during Q4. Contrary to popular belief, the final spike higher isn't usually caused by a crash. It's usually caused by a bullish catalyst that causes Bitcoin to rally to all-time highs for the cycle."

"And once you can see that Bitcoin dominance is approaching that range, then it means that the crypto market is close to a top."

"And this means it's going to be up only until the end of the year."

"history suggests that volatility is likely to increase as we approach crypto's cycle top."

"institutional investors will typically allocate more to the markets going into year end to impress clients, make solid returns, and whatever else. The result is that stocks tend to perform better in Q4, just like crypto."

"Institutions who've been sitting on the sidelines are now underperforming and they need to catch up to keep their clients happy. And this means that institutions are basically going to have to ape into the markets in the next few months."

"And it's possible they'll allocate to alternative riskier assets like small cap stocks to make up for most of the lost gains."

"the small cap stocks, and the crypto markets on the 1st of October. They all started exploding higher."

"the reason why you need to watch the Dixie is because it effectively determines how much liquidity there is in the global financial system. For reference, liquidity refers to money and most money is debt and most debt is denominated in US dollars. And that's why when the Dixie goes up, everything else tends to go down. And when the Dixie goes down, everything else tends to go up."

"Lower inflation, higher unemployment, and lower Fed interest rates tend to result in a weaker Dixie."

"suppose there was a ceasefire or peace deal in Ukraine and this would probably cause the euro to rally versus the dollar as investors would see that Europe is a safer bet now that the geopolitical risk has subsided."

"suppose that the Bank of Japan started raising interest rates. Now, this would probably cause the yen to rally versus the dollar, as higher interest rates would make the yen more attractive to hold versus the dollar."

"At the time of shooting this video, it looks like the Dixie is on the brink of another leg lower, which would be bullish for the markets."

"Basic technical analysis suggests that the total 2ES is likely to grow to around $3 trillion, probably more when you factor in leverage in DeFi borrowing and all that fun stuff."

"We reckon the average return of quality altcoins is likely to be closer to a 4x."