Crypto is CRASHING! Are You Ready for the Bear Market?
Published: 2025-10-14
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-10-14
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
Historically, Bitcoin bottoms occur approximately one year after its 4-year cycle top.
"FYI, Bitcoin has historically bottomed around one year after its previous 4-year cycle top."
Incorrect
Bitcoin typically experiences a 70-80% price decrease from cycle highs to bear market lows.
"For reference, it's common for Bitcoin to fall by 70 to 80% from cycle highs to bare market lows."
Correct
Investors should primarily hold Bitcoin until Bitcoin dominance shows clear signs of decline on longer-term charts.
"stick mostly with Bitcoin until Bitcoin dominance shows clear signs of falling on longerterm time frames."
Incorrect
Historically, Bitcoin dominance tends to bottom out near bear market lows and then begin an upward trend.
"Historically speaking, Bitcoin dominance bottoms close to the bare market lows and starts rising after that..."
Correct
Weakness in Bitcoin dominance on weekly and monthly charts signals that the market's liquidity pipe is nearing repair, and more liquidity will flow into altcoins.
"When you start to see Bitcoin dominance showing signs of weakness on longerterm time frames like the weekly and monthly, that means the liquidity pipe is closer to being fixed and more liquidity is starting to find its way into altcoins."
Correct
A long-term downtrend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart confirms that liquidity is beginning to flow from Bitcoin into altcoins.
"If you can see that Bitcoin dominance is starting to enter a long-term downtrend on the monthly chart, then that's confirmation that liquidity is finally starting to flow beyond Bitcoin and into altcoins."
Correct
Historically, Bitcoin dominance has bottomed out in the 40-45% range.
"Historically, Bitcoin dominance bottomed somewhere in the 40 to 45% range."
Correct
Bitcoin dominance is expected to fall to the 40-45% range in this cycle.
"this time isn't different. This means that Bitcoin dominance will fall somewhere down to the 40 to 45% range."
Correct
Bitcoin might not experience as significant a price drop in the next cycle if entities facing liquidation can receive bailouts from Tether.
"this means that Bitcoin may not fall as much in previous cycles just because the entities which would normally be forced to liquidate BTC could get a bailout from Tether."
Incorrect
The crypto bull market is predicted to end in the next few months, with a crypto bear market beginning in 2026.
"If history repeats, then the crypto bull market will end in the next few months and the crypto bare market will begin sometime in 2026."
Pending
The current year is predicted to be the fourth year of a 4-year crypto cycle, typically characterized by all-time highs.
"the 4-year cycle wherein the fourth year is the most bullish, meaning it contains all-time highs for Bitcoin and most altcoins. Assuming history is repeating and the 4-year cycle is still intact, then we are in that fourth year."
Incorrect
Following the bullish fourth year of a 4-year crypto cycle, the next year is predicted to be the most bearish, with cycle lows for Bitcoin and altcoins.
"So, if we are in the fourth year of the 4-year cycle, which seems likely, then what comes next is the first year of the next cycle, which is the most bearish, meaning it contains the cycle lows for Bitcoin and most altcoins."
Incorrect
The next major crypto deleveraging event may not involve a crypto exchange, but rather a poorly managed Bitcoin treasury company.
"So next time it probably won't be a crypto exchange. It could be a different entity like a poorly managed Bitcoin treasury company going under and selling BTC."
Correct
Individuals should reduce or eliminate debt before the crypto bull market ends and aim to have savings in anticipation of a potential economic downturn in 2026.
"So, this is a kind of long-winded way of saying that you want to reduce and ideally eliminate as much debt as you can before the crypto bull market is over and ideally have some savings in case the economy turns sour in 2026."
Pending
Most altcoins are predicted to decline by 90-99% or more during a bear market.
"And it's likely that most altcoins will fall by much more, like literally 90 to 99% plus."
Correct
Previous crypto bear markets were characterized by initial long liquidations overwhelming buyers, followed by a final liquidation event marking cycle lows.
"Once again, it's worth remembering what happened in previous crypto bare markets. First, something happened that caused a wave of long liquidations that overpowered any buyers stepping in to buy the dip. Eventually, something happened that caused the final liquidation that translated to the cycle lows."
Correct
The lengthy recovery period for the crypto market after hitting bottoms is attributed to large investors' reluctance and fear among small investors.
"And that, ladies and gentlemen, is why it takes so long for the crypto market to recover after it bottoms."
Correct
Altcoins recover and rally last in the crypto cycle, following Bitcoin and then large, medium, and small cap altcoins, a process that can take years.
"If there's anything we've learned from Ben Cowan this cycle, it's that altcoins are the last to recover and rally. Bitcoin is always the first to recover, followed by large cap altcoins and eventually medium and small cap altcoins. And this can take years."
Pending
While the crypto market structure is likely to experience another burst, the subsequent repair and liquidity flow may be faster than in previous cycles.
"This means that the pipes will probably burst again, but the repair could be faster and the liquidity could start flowing faster, too."
Pending
Changes in the crypto market structure this cycle might lead to a shorter bear market in the next cycle.
"the crypto market structure could keyword could have changed enough this cycle that the next cryptobear market may not be as long."
Pending
Despite potential for a shorter bear market, record leverage build-up suggests drawdowns could be as deep as in past cycles.
"But the fact that we're seeing record levels of leverage building up means the draw down could be just as deep as previous cycles."
Correct
The combination of a potentially shorter bear market and deep drawdowns suggests a V-shaped recovery for the crypto market.
"So, put these two together and you have a crypto bare market that looks more like a V-shaped recovery."
Correct
The recovery phase of the next crypto bear market is predicted to be faster than in previous cycles.
"But it's the recovery part that could be faster."
Correct
Tether generated a $13 billion profit in 2024.
"Tether made a $13 billion profit in 2024. Not revenue, profit."
Correct
Tether's potential to protect the crypto industry during a bear market may prioritize Bitcoin-related entities over altcoins, especially given Tether's launch of its own layer ones.
"Tether's protective actions could focus on companies and projects affiliated with Bitcoin rather than altcoins, more so since Tether has begun launching its own layer ones."
Pending
In a scenario where Tether bails out Bitcoin-related entities, altcoins are expected to be severely impacted, though many have significant runway.
"It goes without saying though that most altcoins would be absolutely decimated in this scenario, but many do have years of runway saved up."
Pending
The next crypto cycle might see increased Bitcoin dominance relative to altcoins, but overall Bitcoin dominance could decrease due to growth in sectors like stablecoins and tokenized RWAs.
"This means that the next crypto cycle could be marked by greater Bitcoin dominance relative to altcoins, but also a cycle where the Bitcoin dominance measure could still fall just because we're likely to see other sectors like stable coins and tokenized RWAs grow their market share."
Pending