ilmscore | US Seizes $15B in Bitcoin — Strategic Reserve or Power Grab?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 6
Pending: 0
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
US government policy shifted in March 2025 to hold rather than sell forfeited Bitcoin, establishing it as a strategic reserve asset.
"On March 6th, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order. It officially established the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The order explicitly states that forfeited Bitcoin shall not be sold, but instead quote maintained as reserve assets of the United States."
BTC
Incorrect
Approximately 325,000 BTC, held by the US government, are now permanently out of circulation, creating a significant supply shock.
"One of the largest holders in the world just flipped from being a seller to a permanent holdler. 325,000 coins are now effectively taken out of liquid circulation and locked away in a digital Fort Knox."
BTC
Incorrect
The US government's move to establish a Bitcoin reserve may lead to other nations initiating their own 'digital gold rush' to acquire Bitcoin reserves.
"This move could trigger a global digital gold rush as other nations scramble to build their own reserves so that they don't get left behind."
BTC
Correct
The US government is estimated to control 75% of the global Bitcoin mining hash rate, raising concerns about potential network manipulation.
"The US now has the largest Bitcoin stack and controls an estimated 75% of the global mining hash rate."
BTC
Incorrect
There is a long-term risk that a future US administration hostile to crypto could liquidate its large Bitcoin holdings, potentially crashing the market or using the funds for other programs.
"What if in a few years an administration hostile to crypto decides to liquidate this $36 billion stash to crash the market or fund some program or another?"
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin should be considered a legitimate macro asset and included in diversified portfolios, reflecting its increasing institutional acceptance and the US government's treatment of it as a reserve asset.
"When the world's largest asset manager, Black Rockck, suggests a 2% allocation and the US government starts treating Bitcoin like gold, it's no longer a fringe speculative bet. It's a legitimate macro asset that deserves consideration in a diversified portfolio."
BTC
Incorrect
Geopolitical factors and changes in US policy, such as proposed legislation like the Bitcoin Act, will become as significant as market sentiment in influencing Bitcoin's price.
"Bitcoin's price is no longer just about having cycles in market sentiment. It's now about geopolitics. Watching for changes in US policy, like the proposed Bitcoin Act in Congress, is just as important as watching the charts."
BTC
Incorrect