Bitcoin Crashes Below $90K! Is the Bull Run Dead?
Published: 2025-11-19
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-11-19
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
JPMorgan predicts Bitcoin will reach $170,000 by 2026.
"JP Morgan has a 2026 price target near $170,000."
Pending
Standard Chartered predicts Bitcoin to reach $300,000 in 2026.
"Standard Charted is calling for a staggering $300,000 in 2026."
Incorrect
Bitcoin critical support zone identified between $88,000-$94,000, with potential downside targets of $80,000s and $76,000 if broken.
"On the downside, the zone between 88,000 and 94,000 is now critical support. This area represents the cost basis for many institutional buyers. A decisive break below this could open the door to a deeper retest of the low80,000s or even the April lows around $76,000."
Incorrect
Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $100,000-$11,000 region, specifically breaking back above the 50-week EMA, to restore bull market structure.
"To the upside, the bull's first job is to reclaim the $100,000 to $11,000 region. Getting back above that 50week EMA is the essential first step to restoring the bull market structure."
Incorrect
Exchange reserves for Bitcoin are at a 7-year low, indicating accumulation and a potential supply shock, which contradicts typical bare market behavior.
"Despite the price crash, the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges has continued to plummet, hitting a 7-year low of just 2.38 million Bitcoin. And this is not what happens at the start of a bare market. Bare markets begin when holders rush to deposit their coins onto exchanges so they can sell them. What we are seeing is the opposite, a relentless draining of available supply, setting the stage for a potential supply shock."
Incorrect
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossing below its 200-day moving average (death cross) has historically occurred near local bottoms and acted as a liquidity grab before a reversal, suggesting it may not be a bearish signal this time.
"On November 16th, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed below its 200-day moving average, a classic bearish signal. But here's where context is king. This is the fourth death cross of this bull cycle. And in the previous three instances in September 2023, August 2024, and April 2025, the death cross actually marked the late stages of the correction right near the local bottom. Coincidence? I think not. And it seems the market has been using this widely feared signal as a liquidity grabbing event before reversing higher."
Incorrect
Historically low RSI readings (currently 29) have preceded significant relief bounces in Bitcoin.
"Historically, readings this low have preceded significant relief bounces."
Incorrect
The near-term future of Bitcoin will be a battle between bearish technicals and bullish on-chain fundamentals, with the Federal Reserve's December decision being a key decider.
"The battle for the next few months will be fought between the bearish technicals and the bullish onchain fundamentals with the Fed's December decision likely being the deciding factor."
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve's upcoming December 9th-10th FOMC meeting decision on interest rates (cut vs. hold) is a critical catalyst that could reignite the market or lead to further declines.
"The market is currently pricing in a coin toss on whether they will cut rates again or hold them steady. A surprise cut could reignite the market, while a hawkish hold could lead to another leg down."
Correct
Recent record highs in global liquidity (M2 money supply) suggest that the fuel for the next Bitcoin rally is already present, with an anticipated impact in approximately 3 months.
"Bitcoin's price is notoriously sensitive to global liquidity, which recently hit a record high. There is typically a lag of about 3 months between liquidity injections and their impact on asset prices. And this suggests that the fuel for the next rally is already in the tank. We're just waiting for the spark."
Pending
A Supreme Court decision on tariffs, expected in December or January, has the potential to introduce significant volatility into the market.
"We also have a Supreme Court decision on tariffs expected in December or January, which could inject serious volatility."
Pending
Late December may see selling pressure from tax loss harvesting, potentially paving the way for a 'January effect' rebound due to new capital deployment.
"We could see further selling pressure in late December due to tax loss harvesting, but this often sets the stage for a January effect where fresh capital is deployed at the start of the new year sparking a rebound."
Correct
Large movements from Mount Gox wallets, even with a repayment deadline of October 2026, could still negatively impact market sentiment.
"And while the Mount Gox repayment deadline has been pushed to October 2026, any large movements from their wallets still have the potential to spook the market."
Correct