Historically, Bitcoin bear markets last between 12 to 15 months from peak to trough and recovery.
"BTC's historical price action puts the average length of a full bare market from peak to trough and back into a real recovery at around 12 to 15 months."
Assuming the October 2025 peak was the cycle high, Bitcoin's final bottom is predicted to be around late 2026 or early 2027.
"If BTC behaves like those prior cycles, a normal bear would put the final bottom somewhere around late 2026 or possibly early 2027, 12 to 15 months after the peak."
Due to new market factors, Bitcoin's bear market grind could extend through late 2026.
"you should emotionally budget for a multi-arter grind that could easily run through late 2026, even if the exact bottom tick ends up earlier or later."
XRP has experienced drawdowns exceeding 90% and a lengthy recovery period, taking 3.5 years to rebound after its 2021 high.
"XRP's maximum draw down has been north of 90% too. After its 2021 high, XRP took a typical 14 months to bottom out. However, it only took off again in late 2024, a full 3 and 1/2 years later."