ilmscore | Worst Bitcoin Period Since 2019 - What's Next?

Worst Bitcoin Period Since 2019 - What's Next?

Published: 2025-12-01
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
Speaker expresses low confidence in Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high in December.
"I'm not confident anymore that we're going to see a new all-time high certainly in December."
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Incorrect
Speaker predicts a bearish December for Bitcoin but sees potential for a different scenario in Q1 2026.
"2026 Q1 could be a different story, but I my my Spidey sense tells me it's it's going to be a bearish December."
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Correct
Speaker suggests that even if not currently in a bear market, the trend is moving towards one.
"if we're not in a bare market yet, we are sliding towards one."
Bitcoin Market Cycle
Correct
Speaker believes that if Bitcoin cannot maintain strength despite positive news, further price declines are possible.
"if we can't maintain some sort of strength in the face of all this good news. I kind of feel like maybe we've got lower to go."
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Correct
The speaker doubts the Fusaka upgrade will significantly impact ETH's price, though they hope otherwise.
"what it probably won't do is do much for ETH's price, but we can only hope."
Ethereum Price Prediction
Pending
There is a concern that Japanese bond yields will increase due to the Bank of Japan considering another interest rate hike.
"the concern is um that the yield on Japanese bonds is going to rise because the BOJ, the Bank of Japan is eyeing another rate hike."
Japanese Bond Yields
Correct
Even a slight increase in Japanese interest rates is predicted to cause significant disruption, and this appears to be occurring again.
"even a small nudge in uh you nudge upwards in uh Japanese interest rates is going to cause carnage and this appears to be what's happening again."
Japanese Bond Yields
Correct
Market pricing indicates a 76% chance of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan on December 19th, preceded by a spike in 2-year Japanese government bond yields, which are indicative of short-term rates targeted by the BOJ.
"the expectations for a December 19th that's when the BOJ decides the expectations in terms of bond market pricing and futures is there's a 76% chance of an increase in rates. So prior to that, we had a spike in the 2-year uh Japanese government bond yields and these are a good proxy for the short end rates which the BOJ usually targets."
Japanese Bond Yields
Correct
The speaker anticipates guaranteed Fed rate cuts within two weeks and expects a new, highly dovish Fed chair in the following year who will aim to stimulate the economy.
"Fed rate cuts coming up in two weeks almost guaranteed. You've got a new Fed chair coming in next year who's going to be uber doubbish. They're going to run it hot."
US Federal Reserve Policy
Incorrect
If the total market cap for Bitcoin rises above the November 2021 highs, the speaker would target at least $3.29 trillion and consider taking profits.
"I would really really like it to come back above there. That would make me feel so much better. And if it does, then I would target, you know, at least 3.29 trillion for the total market cap. And that's probably where I'd be wanting to take uh some of my profits or a lot of my profits."
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Incorrect