ilmscore | Jim Bianco: Bitcoin Predictions, Strategy Selling & Institutional Threat

Jim Bianco: Bitcoin Predictions, Strategy Selling & Institutional Threat

Published: 2025-12-05
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
By December 2026, Bitcoin could reach significantly higher if psychological damage is minimal, or only recover to the mid-$80,000 range if psychological damage is significant.
"If we did a little bit, it'll go much higher. If we did a lot, it might only be recovering to the mid 80s by then."
BTC
Pending
A 7-5 or 8-4 vote split at the FOMC meeting would diminish the influence of the Fed Chair, making individual votes more critical.
"If that happens, we get a 7584 vote. Then all bets are off. Whatever Paul says at the next meeting doesn't matter. He's only one of 12 votes."
Federal Reserve Policy
Incorrect
Aggressive rate cuts or money printing by the Fed could lead to inflation and a subsequent plunge in risk markets.
"my fear is they're going to create inflation and the result is going to be a plunge in risk markets."
US Economy and Inflation
Pending
If the current buying trend in precious metals spreads to Japan, the US, and Western Europe, the rally could continue due to the market's relatively small size.
"Is that going to metastasize into the Japan, the United States, Western Europe? Maybe. Maybe it does. And if so, I think that there could be more legs to the precious metals move again because it's a fairly small market at this point."
Precious Metals Market
Pending
While China is de-dollarizing, it remains uncertain whether this trend will extend to the rest of the world.
"Is it de it's de-dollarization for them, but is it de-dollarization for the rest of the world? That is still an open question whether or not we're going to see de-dollarization for the rest of the world."
De-dollarization
Correct
Bitcoin is predicted to go below $70,000 by December 2026, but then begin to recover, with a potential to reach $85,000-$120,000 by the end of the year. The recovery speed will depend on the impact on investor sentiment.
"I think we got to go below 74K first, maybe down, you know, under 70. And I think that maybe by the end, one year from today, December of 26, we're on our way back up. But it's going to be very, very painful."
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Pending
If the Federal Reserve votes 10-2 or 11-1 to cut rates at their upcoming meeting, and subsequently the Fed Chairman pushes for rate cuts, the federal funds rate could reach 1% by the end of the following year, influenced by a dovish stance aligned with Trump's views.
"If the Fed caves and there's a 102 111 vote or something like that at next week's meeting, they all give speeches. We shouldn't cut rates, we shouldn't cut rates, and then because the chairman wants to cut rates, they go into the meeting and vote to cut rates. If they do that, then Hassid's coming in and he's going to be lo pushing on Trump's need view that the funds rate by the end of next year should be 1%."
Federal Reserve Policy
Incorrect
The speaker warns that the current path of fiscal dominance is unsustainable and will ultimately lead to a catastrophe, advising those engaging in this strategy to profit quickly and exit the market.
"The problem with fiscal dominance is you've pulled the pin on a grenade and now we're just arguing about when it's going to blow up. It will blow up, you know, and so that is why if you want to go down that fiscal dominance road, this is the last trade. You better wind up rich and out of the market because it will end badly."
US Economic Policy
Pending
Despite efforts to avoid it, the speaker predicts an increase in internal strife between China and the US in the coming years.
"I think they'll we'll try to not have it, but ultimately I think that we are going to see more internal strife."
US-China Relations
Correct