ilmscore | 2026 Will Be A BAD YEAR For The Crypto Market!!

2026 Will Be A BAD YEAR For The Crypto Market!!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Starting January 1, 2026, UK crypto platforms must collect and report user transaction data to HMRC.
"from the 1st of January 2026, crypto exchanges, brokers, and custody style platforms serving UK customers will start collecting detailed user transaction data. And that data will be handed over to His Majesty's Revenue and Customs or HMRC, the UK's tax authority."
UK Crypto Regulations
Correct
The first annual report for UK crypto transaction data will be due to HMRC by May 31, 2027, covering the 2026 calendar year.
"the first one due by the 31st of May 2027 covering everything that happened in calendar year 2026."
UK Crypto Regulations Reporting Deadline
Pending
Every EU member state will provide a digital identity wallet by the end of 2026.
"every member state will offer an EU digital identity wallet by the end of 2026."
EU Digital Identity Wallets
Pending
EU countries must implement DAC8 by December 31, 2025, apply it from January 1, 2026, with 2026 being the first reporting year.
"The European Commission's timeline states that countries must transpose it by the 31st of December 2025, apply it from the 1st of January 2026, and 2026 is the first reporting year."
EU Crypto Reporting Framework (DAC8)
Correct
Firms operating under pre-December 30, 2024, national rules in the EU can continue operating until July 1, 2026, or until their authorization status is decided.
"Firms operating under national rules before the 30th of December 2024 may keep operating until the 1st of July 2026 or until they're granted or refused authorization."
EU Crypto Licensing (MiCA)
Correct
In 2026, the IRS will begin receiving reports from brokers and exchanges regarding customer digital asset sales made in 2025.
"For all trades made in 2025, brokers and exchanges are going to report customers digital asset sales to the IRS, similar to what's set to be implemented in the UK and EU. Those forms start landing in early 2026."
US Crypto Reporting to IRS
Correct
The OECD CARF system begins in 2026, with cross-border data exchange starting in 2027.
"And 2026 is the big year that sees this system start. The OECD's latest calf commitment list shows a big group of jurisdictions aiming to start exchanging calf data in 2027. So 2026 becomes the first big capture year and 2027 is when the crossber file swapping starts."
OECD Crypto Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) Implementation
Correct
27 jurisdictions will join the OECD CARF data exchange in 2028, with the US joining in 2029.
"27 jurisdictions are lining up to join in 2028, including Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, and the UAE. Currently, the US is set to undertake first data exchanges in 2029."
OECD CARF Data Exchange Expansion
Pending
The new CARF-style reporting in the UK from 2026 will provide HMRC with easier access to exchange data, building on their prior enforcement actions.
"In the UK, HMRC sent nearly 65,000 nudge letters in a single tax year to people it suspected weren't reporting crypto properly. And sure enough, the new CF style reporting coming in 2026 will give HMRC easier access to exchange data."
UK HMRC Crypto Reporting Enforcement
Pending
The DEX to CEX spot trading ratio is projected to continue increasing, with DEXs steadily gaining market share.
"DEX to CEX spot trading ratio has soared over the past 5 years, rising from just 6% in January 2021 to 21% by November 2025. Notably, that ratio peaked back in June of this year at over 37%. The next phase of that isn't necessarily that dexes replace sexes, but dexes are in a good position to steadily take more and more market share as they've proven they can."
Decentralized Exchange (DEX) Market Share Growth
Pending
Trading privacy coins may become more difficult due to liquidity and exit risks as exchanges delist them for compliance reasons.
"It could therefore become harder to trade these coins as big exchanges back away from anything that makes compliance difficult. So while privacy coins can pump hard as Zcash recently demonstrated in glorious fashion, they also carry liquidity and exit risk as the list of easy on and off ramps shrinks."
Privacy Coin Trading Risk
Correct