ilmscore | QE Confirmed, Fewer Cuts & Rising Risks: What Bitcoin Faces in 2026

Predictions from this Video

Total: 29
Correct: 5
Incorrect: 21
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $300,000 in early 2026.
"Bitcoin is reaching 300K in early 2026 is a logical scenario."
BTC
Incorrect
A major central bank accumulating 1-5% of Bitcoin as reserves is predicted to signal new institutional acceptance and have a massive price impact.
"central bank buying Bitcoin. Um, so if a major central bank were to start accumulating Bitcoin as part of its reserves, you know, even say 1 to 5%. That would signal a whole new style of institutional acceptance."
BTC
Pending
A major AI company like Google, Microsoft, or Nvidia allocating a $10 billion chunk into Bitcoin is seen as a potential white swan event that could cause a massive supply shock.
"a massive AI company allocating some Bitcoin to its balance sheet or allocating buying Bitcoin for its balance sheet and allocating to Bitcoin. So, Google, Microsoft or Nvidia publicly allocating a massive chunk. I mean, it's small for them in terms of the size of their balance sheet, but let's assume like a $10 billion chunk of liquidity into Bitcoin."
BTC
Incorrect
A major pension system or sovereign wealth fund allocating at least 5% to Bitcoin is considered a significant potential event.
"a major pension system or scheme allocating at least 5% which is what's recommended by financial advisers now to Bitcoin"
BTC
Incorrect
A new Bitcoin ETF is expected to trade Bitcoin exclusively after market hours, potentially addressing volatile 'witching hour' price movements.
"this is a new uh this is an ETF that will only hold Bitcoin at night. Yeah. Well trade I think um the ETF that will try and trade Bitcoin. Yeah. After hours market."
BTC
Incorrect
Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin price prediction downwards, implying a significant adjustment from their previous 200k target.
"Standard Chartered revised price prediction."
BTC
Incorrect
Early Bitcoin investors ('OGs') are selling call options to generate yield on their holdings, capping their upside potential instead of selling their Bitcoin and realizing taxes.
"all these Bitcoin OGs instead of selling their Bitcoin, uh they have been writing call options and basically capping their upside to get yield on their Bitcoin without selling their Bitcoin without realizing taxes."
BTC
Incorrect
More banks are offering Bitcoin-linked structured credit products, indicating increasing institutional adoption.
"another bank um jumping on the Bitcoin structured credit bandwagon."
BTC
Incorrect
A company called Metanet, described as Japan's number one in Bitcoin strategy, will receive a 12-month head start.
"give Metanet, which is obviously Japan's number one, basically the strategy of Japan. Um, he's going to give them a 12-month head start."
BTC
Pending
Vanguard, described as a major Bitcoin detractor, has labeled Bitcoin as a 'digital toy' or 'labuba'.
"Vanguard actually called Bitcoin, and remember guys, Vanguard is the biggest Bitcoin hater there is, and they called Bitcoin a digital toy like a labu."
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin experienced a rally, creating an upside gap, and is currently moving towards closing it.
"Bitcoin rallied up and it's it almost came close to obviously a Sunday move in Bitcoin implies there's going to be a gap of some description. In this case, it was surprisingly to the upside because we fell uh on Sunday and even today, this morning, we started, you know, slowly going back towards closing that gap."
BTC
Incorrect
A bearish flag pattern is observed on the daily Bitcoin chart, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. The 50-day moving average is identified as strong resistance.
"on the daily chart, we have unfortunately this bearish flag as well, which many people have been pointing out. Uh and that's generally a continuation pattern to the downside, a bearish continuation pattern and it could rally up uh towards the top of that uh flag. Uh where we actually also have the 50week moving average, which is will act as a strong 50, not sorry, not 50we, 50-day moving average, which will act as a strong resistance."
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin has had its fifth consecutive weekly close below the 50-week moving average, and a candlestick pattern indicates rejection above $94,000, signaling fading bullish momentum.
"weekly we've actually closed our fifth weekly close below the 50week moving average. And it's also worth noting last week's close or like yesterday or the last week's close. Um, it's the it's basically from a candlestick analysis perspective, it's a long upper wick which indicates a rejection above 94,000. And the small red body, it means it's with a lower negligible wick uh shows this is a classic rejection pattern and it signals fading bullish momentum."
BTC
Incorrect
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $40,000 by October 2026.
"40k Bitcoin by October 2026."
BTC
Pending
Technical analyst Peter Brunt predicts Bitcoin could fall below $30,000.
"down as low as like I think Peter Brunt, one of these technical analysts saying down below 30K."
BTC
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve plans to purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills monthly, a move interpreted by some as a form of QE or market priming for increased liquidity in 2026.
"the Fed would start buying $40 billion in Treasury bills over the next 30 days."
Federal Reserve Policy
Correct
The tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs) is predicted to potentially 'catch fire' and gain significant traction, impacting layer one blockchains like Solana and Ethereum.
"the idea of tokenization of real world assets RWAS. Um, and there's every chance that you know, this could suddenly again first slowly and then all at once this could suddenly catch fire."
Tokenization of Real World Assets
Correct
Quantitative easing (QE) is predicted to likely return next year if Donald Trump's economic policies are implemented, aiming to stimulate the economy.
"QE is likely to come next year if Trump gets his way in terms of like juicing running the economy hot"
US Monetary Policy
Incorrect
The consensus among Fed officials is for only 25 basis points of interest rate cuts in the upcoming year, which is considered slightly hawkish.
"the consensus view among Fed officials is that we'll only see 25 basis points of cuts next year. So slightly hawkish."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy
Incorrect
Donald Trump's stated goal is to reduce interest rates to 1%.
"Trump wants interest rates at 1%."
US Interest Rates
Incorrect
The Russia-Ukraine war is predicted to potentially end before the end of the year, which could be positive for markets, especially in Europe by lowering energy prices.
"Russia Ukraine war, which could that could end before then the end of the year."
Russia-Ukraine War Resolution
Incorrect
There is a possibility that the Supreme Court could strike down Trump's tariffs, which would be a significant boon for markets and could involve substantial refunds to businesses.
"the possibility that the Supreme Court might strike down Trump's tariffs."
US Trade Policy
Incorrect
Congress is actively pushing for the SEC to permit investments in Bitcoin within 401(k) retirement plans.
"Congress really wants the SEC to allow people to invest their uh to invest in Bitcoin in their 401ks."
SEC Regulation
Incorrect
Silver has recently surpassed Bitcoin in performance, indicating a strong rally in the silver market.
"silver overtaking Bitcoin"
Silver Price Rally
Incorrect
A Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting is scheduled.
"BOJ meeting as well."
Japan Monetary Policy
Correct
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to hike rates by 75 basis points on December 19th.
"on the 19th of December we have the BOJ uh they are hiking rates to a whopping 75 basis points."
Japan Monetary Policy
Incorrect
Delayed Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) employment reports are expected to show 50,000 new jobs on December 16th.
"December 16th, we've got those delayed employment reports. Uh this is the NFPs. They're expected at 50K."
US Employment Data
Incorrect
US CPI inflation is expected to be 3.1% on December 18th, with a previous reading of 3%.
"inflation numbers on December 18th. Uh the 3.1% is expected. This is the CPI inflation with 3% previous."
US Inflation Data
Correct
Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data will be released on December 19th.
"Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data coming out."
US Consumer Sentiment
Correct