Demographic tailwinds from peak millennial home buying and early Gen Z entry are expected to continue in the housing market for several more years.
"We're still in the sort of the peak of millennial home buying and the front end of Gen Z is also a very big population. And so this is probably going to last for several more years at least."
Housing supply constraints are expected to worsen, potentially leading to a decline in new construction over the next couple of years.
"And supply constraints are actually only getting worse. And I think we might actually see a decline again in construction over the next couple of years."
The stock market was overvalued and expected to experience a volatile period (prediction made several months before April 2025).
"I've been saying for several months now that I thought the stock market was overvalued. It was too expensive. And I sold about 25% of my entire portfolio, which is sizable amount because I wanted to get out of what I expected to be a volatile period in the stock market."
A significant housing market crash (prices falling 10% or more) is not considered the most likely outcome at present.
"But I personally don't believe like a significant market crash where we see prices in the housing market fall by 10% or more. It's not, at least right now, the most likely outcome."
As the housing market softens and shifts to a buyer's market, appreciation is expected to slow down over the next couple of years.
"The market is softening and we are moving towards a buyer market. And that does mean in a lot of cases appreciation might slow down over the next couple of years."