The “Housing Crash” Bros are Wrong (Again!) | Sept. 2025 Update
Published: 2025-09-26
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-09-26
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Zillow forecasts national nominal home prices to be down 1% by the end of 2025.
"Zillow... they are saying right now is that they think through the end of 2025 that we'll wind up with home prices at -1% nominally."
Pending
Case-Shiller (via Reuters) forecasts US home prices to grow 1.3% in 2026.
"the case Schiller lens, which comes from Reuters... They say that they think home prices will grow next year 1.3%."
Pending
Core Logic forecasts US home prices to grow 1.4% in 2026.
"Core Logic says 1.4% year-over-year."
Pending
The US housing market is not likely to experience a crash.
"I believe we are in a correction, but we are not likely heading for a crash because for as long as people have the option not to sell, it is very unlikely that you get crash dynamics."
Pending
National home prices will remain relatively flat (within +/- 2-3%) for the rest of 2025.
"my forecast for the remainder of the year is that we are going to remain relatively flat. I'm sticking with the prediction I made in November of last year is that we were going to be plus or minus two or three percentage points on a national basis, but the general vibe of the housing market is going to be pretty much flat."
Pending
Mortgage rates will remain between 6.25% and 6.75% for the rest of 2025.
"I have been saying that they were going to stay in the sixes somewhere between 6.25 6.75 somewhere in that range for most of the year and that has been accurate and I think that's where mortgage rates are staying for the remainder of this year."
Pending
Mortgage rates are unlikely to drop below 6% by the end of 2025.
"I would be pretty surprised if it goes below 6% by the end of this year just because of what is going on with inflation, what is going on with the risk of recession."
Pending
Less committed real estate investors ('social media investors') are predicted to exit the market for a period.
"a lot of the social media investors... I think they're going to kind of go away for a while at least because the benefits of investing in a correction market like we're in are not that obvious"
Pending
Real estate cash flow prospects are predicted to improve starting in 2026.
"I believe that cash flow prospects are going to improve starting in 2026."
Pending
Multifamily rent prices are predicted to increase gradually starting in 2026.
"I do think we're going to start seeing rent prices increase gradually next year"
Pending
The US housing market is unlikely to experience a crash.
"I believe we are in a correction, but we are not likely heading for a crash because for as long as people have the option not to sell, it is very unlikely that you get crash dynamics. That really just hasn't happened before and so it remains very unlikely."
Pending
Housing markets in Lakeland (FL), Austin (TX), San Antonio (TX), Denver (CO), Tampa (FL), and New Orleans (LA) are likely to experience price declines.
"That's why these markets are likely going to see price declines."
Pending
US national home prices will remain relatively flat (within +/- 2-3 percentage points) through the end of 2025.
"My forecast for the remainder of the year is that we are going to remain relatively flat. I'm sticking with the prediction I made in November of last year is that we were going to be plus or minus two or three percentage points on a national basis, but the general vibe of the housing market is going to be pretty much flat."
Pending
US mortgage rates will remain in the 6.25% - 6.75% range through the end of 2025.
"I have been saying that they were going to stay in the sixes somewhere between 6.25 6.75 somewhere in that range for most of the year and that has been accurate and I think that's where mortgage rates are staying for the remainder of this year."
Pending
There will be an increase in motivated sellers in the US housing market for a while.
"I do think we're going to see more motivated sellers."
Pending
Less committed 'social media investors' will exit the real estate market for a period.
"I think a lot of the social media investors, people who are sort of a little bit interested in real estate investing but not really committed to it. I think they're going to kind of go away for a while at least"
Pending
Cash flow prospects for real estate investors are predicted to improve starting in 2026.
"I believe that cash flow prospects are going to improve starting in 2026."
Pending
Rent prices are expected to start increasing gradually in 2026.
"I do think we're going to start seeing rent prices increase gradually next year"
Pending