ilmscore | Why Is Europe So Worried About Chinese EVs?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
The US 27.5% import tariff on cars made in China is predicted to continue for the foreseeable future.
"That policy has continued under the Biden administration and does not look like it will end any time soon."
US-China Trade Relations
Pending
Subsidies for car purchases from Chinese local governments are unlikely to return in the near future due to financial constraints.
"It is unlikely that these subsidies will come back any time soon, as local governments in China are mostly funded by leasing land to developers for construction, and construction activity has almost entirely dried up in China."
Chinese Domestic Economy
Pending
The number of Chinese electric car brands is predicted to consolidate from over 160 to only 25-30 in the long run.
"The Wall Street Journal says that there are more than 160 electric car brands in China and that only twenty-five or thirty of them are likely to survive in the long run."
Chinese Electric Vehicle Market
Pending
Aggressive Chinese car exports are likely to provoke protectionist trade measures from international partners.
"China risks a backlash from their trade partners if they push too many cars into a given region which would likely cause protectionist measures to be put in place."
Global Trade Relations
Pending
China's trade surplus in manufactured goods will likely be difficult to significantly expand beyond its current level of around 10% of the overall Chinese economy.
"China might also struggle to export more goods – just from a practical perspective - as its trade surplus in manufactured goods is already at around ten percent of the overall Chinese economy, it may be difficult to expand it much beyond that level."
Chinese Export Growth
Pending